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Sun, Sep 298:05 pm UTCLevi's Stadium
78 F
Track OnCBS Sports
New England
Patriots
NE
Last 5 ATS
W/L4-13
ATS7-9
O/U11-6-0
FINAL SCORE
13
-
30
San Francisco
49ers
SF
Last 5 ATS
W/L6-11
ATS5-12
O/U9-8-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
4-13
Win /Loss
6-11
7-9
Spread
5-12
11-6-0
Over / Under
9-8-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
NE @ SF
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MONEYLINE
NE @ SF
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OVER / UNDER
NE @ SF
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33%
PUBLIC
67%
MONEY
7%
PUBLIC
93%
MONEY
Over92%
PUBLIC
Under8%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadSan Francisco -10.5 -108
WIN
Unit1.0
+241
8-5 in Last 13 NFL Picks
+80
2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
+560
10-3-2 in Last 15 NE ATS Picks
Josh's Analysis:

Offensive weapons Deebo Samuel and George Kittle are expected to return from injury ahead of schedule Sunday. This is a just a bonus in a get-right spot for the 49ers, who have suffered consecutive losses. The Patriots were competitive early but this team has such a limited offensive ceiling with Jacoby Brissett under center that it's difficult to envision them keeping pace with the 49ers for four quarters.

Pick Made: Sep 29, 3:01 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Rushing + Receiving YardsDemario Douglas Over 34.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1464
40-22 in Last 62 NFL Player Props Picks
Sia's Analysis:

The Patriots made it a point to get Demario Douglas involved last week as he finally started to get some work to the tune of 7 receptions for 69 yards. They even gave him a carry in the backfield in an effort to showcase him. I don't necessarily expect that type of work this week for Douglas, but in a trailing game script he should be among the primary targets.

Pick Made: Sep 29, 1:18 am UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadNew England +10 -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1907
60-37-3 in Last 100 NFL ATS Picks
+498
27-20-1 in Last 48 NE ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Double-digit spreads are rare this early in the season. It should never apply to an injury-wracked favorite that has fallen twice in a row, the latter against an opponent in worse health than itself. The 49ers have been shorn of main offensive threats Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel and George Kittle. QB Brock Purdy is effective with a full complement but cannot carry the load -- and he is dealing with a sore back. What's worse, San Fran's defense is permitting the third most yards per snap and second most conversions on third down. The Patriots are not nearly as awful as projected in the preseason, having won their opener and dropping their second outing in overtime. The line should be well into single figures.

Pick Made: Sep 24, 11:55 pm UTC on BetMGM

Best Prop Picks

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Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

New England Patriots
Wednesday, Apr 16, 2025
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WR
Kayshon Boutte
HeadQuestionable
Tuesday, Apr 01, 2025
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TE
Hunter Henry
FootQuestionable
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FS
Jabrill Peppers
HamstringQuestionable
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LB
Marte Mapu
NeckQuestionable
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CB
Marcus Jones
HipQuestionable
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DT
Christian Barmore
IllnessQuestionable
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C
Jake Andrews
KneeQuestionable
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WR
Ja'Lynn Polk
ShoulderQuestionable
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DT
Jaquelin Roy
FootQuestionable
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CB
Christian Gonzalez
ConcussionQuestionable
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WR
JaQuae Jackson
KneeQuestionable
Tuesday, Mar 11, 2025
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SAF
Marcus Epps
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Tuesday, Feb 11, 2025
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WR
Stefon Diggs
Knee - ACLQuestionable
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SAF
Kyle Dugger
AnkleQuestionable
San Francisco 49ers
Tuesday, Apr 01, 2025
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OT
Trent Williams
AnkleQuestionable
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OT
Colton McKivitz
UndisclosedQuestionable
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P
Mitch Wishnowsky
BackQuestionable
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CB
Deommodore Lenoir
ShoulderQuestionable
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CB
Tre Brown
KneeQuestionable
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DE
Robert Beal Jr.
AnkleQuestionable
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DB
George Odum
KneeQuestionable
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OT
Spencer Burford
CalfQuestionable
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DE
Drake Jackson
KneeQuestionable
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CB
Renardo Green
GroinQuestionable
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CB
Darrell Luter Jr.
PelvisQuestionable
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SAF
Malik Mustapha
KneeQuestionable
Wednesday, Feb 12, 2025
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RB
Isaac Guerendo
Knee - MCLQuestionable
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WR
Brandon Aiyuk
Knee - ACL + MCLQuestionable

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
50%
1-1-1
1-2
33%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
1-1
1-0
100%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
50%
1-1-1
1-2
33%
When Spread was +9 to +12
SPREAD
When Spread was -12 to -9
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
50%
1-1
1-0
100%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <40% of Games
0%
0-0-1
0-0
0%
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
0%
0-0
0-1
0%
After >8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
100%
1-0
0-2
0%
vs SF
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NE
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
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