This is a half unit wager to get some action on Monday night as I was planning to take the Packers at -7 only to get a far worse line at this late juncture. The Rams are not equipped to take advantage of the Packers' biggest detriment, their run defense. Green Bay is playing for pride at home in conditions where Aaron Rodgers thrives. Oh, he also has his full complement of receivers for the first time all season. Beyond that, Los Angeles is still missing Aaron Donald, and Rodgers should get plenty of time in the pocket to spread the ball around. I have the Pack as a 9-point favorite here, and I'll also likely be taking them in a two-team, 6-point Wong teaser with the Ravens or Bills in Week 16.

I don't expect Baker Mayfield to have very good numbers tonight with the very cold temperatures, but he seemed to favor Ben Skowronek in his Rams debut in Week 14 as Skowronek was targeted a team-high eight times and finished with seven catches. Skowronek played every single offensive snap last week and 97% the previous game because LA simply doesn't have anyone else with so many receiver injuries.

Unwise, perhaps, to spot the underdog a full touchdown in a projected low-scoring affair in the cold. The override is Aaron Rodgers, who seems impervious to the elements. His record is remarkable in conditions such as Monday's likely temperature in the teens and possible snow. That the visitors hail from balmy Southern California enhances the edge. Plus, A-Rod is on an 8-0 straight-up roll on Monday Night Football, with 22 TD throws and just two interceptions. Further, the Packers are coming off a bye, with an extra day thrown in. The cherry on top for Green Bay is the continued absence of Rams DT Aaron Donald.

Baker Mayfield had a movie-script moment with his win over the Raiders, but this is still a broken offense with a bad offensive line and a rash of injuries. The Packers defense has been pretty bad, but this should be their easiest matchup of the year, especially getting to play an indoor team at home in December. The Rams defense couldn't stop the Raiders in the first half, and that should give the Packers a blueprint for scoring points with extra time to prepare and get healthy. With Green Bay's elite home-field advantage, these teams need to be about 3.5 to 4 points apart in power ratings for this line to make sense, and I believe it's far wider.