Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
Expert Picks
There are few teams in the NFL that I trust less than the Kliff Kingsbury-led Cardinals, particularly coming off a win as they got last week against the Panthers. The fact is that Arizona beats poor teams and struggles against good ones. And the Eagles, the lone remaining unbeaten NFL team, are certainly a good one. A closer-than-desired win over Jacksonville last week has Philadelphia a bit underrated in this spot. The Eagles are better on both sides of the ball (and both lines of scrimmage) with a running game that can milk the clock while keeping the Cardinals’ weapons off the field late, if necessary. Not to mention, I'm not sure that Arizona will be able to cover Philly's receivers. The Eagles' run will end eventually, but it won’t be this week. I like Philly up to a touchdown.
Eventually the Eagles are bound to stumble -- and laying 5.5 points on the road is never ideal -- but I don't think this is the week. The Cardinals, for whatever reason, are terrible at home, losing their last seven home games both straight up and ATS. The Eagles, who spotted Jacksonville 14 points last week and still covered, are more talented than Arizona on both sides of the ball. The worry is that Kyler Murray takes over like he did against the Raiders, but that was the Raiders. With DeAndre Hopkins sitting one more week, it's hard to envision the Cardinals keeping up here. Lay the points.
The Cardinals continue to struggle offensively without DeAndre Hopkins. They're averaging 4.8 yards per play, which ranks 28th. The Eagles average 6.1 yards per play and have been jumping out to big first-half leads with regularity. Jalen Hurts leads the NFL with 9.1 yards per pass attempt and will punish Vance Joseph's blitzes. With Arizona having lost seven straight home games, and failing to cover any of them, I'll back Philly to cover.
Philadelphia is playing like a well-oiled machine right now, being able to dominate a defense on both ends of offense. Defensively they are vastly improved over last year, showing the ability to close out games. For Arizona, while they have shown the ability to overcome early deficits, if they get down early verses the Eagles it could be lights out. Avoiding slow starts will be key for them, but it's something we haven't seen them do this season.