Though I normally shy away from spreads at a touchdown or more, it was not an issue Thursday night with the Chiefs, and it won't be Sunday with the Ravens, which I have as a 10-point favorite entering the game. Lamar Jackson will pick up right where he left off last season with the Ravens offense getting even stronger as J.K. Dobbins joins Jackson and Mark Ingram in the backfield. The Browns have improved offensive talent of their own and will score, but Baltimore will lock them down defensively late in the game. If this was in Cleveland, I might shy away from it. But asking this Browns team to go on the road and cover in Baltimore is a bit too much for Week 1, even given the unique circumstances.

The Ravens are the highest home favorite on the board for Sunday. The yardage battle might be close, but expect turnovers, miscues and failed execution to doom the Browns as Baltimore gets a double-digit win.

When Cleveland and Baltimore hit the field Sunday, the game will be a strength-vs.-weakness matchup, as the Ravens' strength on offense is their run game, while the weakness of the Browns defense is their run defense. Making things complicated for the Cleveland offense is the offseason acquisition of both DE Calais Campbell and Derek Wolfe. Expect the Ravens to challenge the Browns rookie LT Jedrick Wills, putting a lot of pressure on QB Baker Mayfield and stymying RB Nick Chubb and the Cleveland ground game in the process.

I think the Browns take a pretty big step forward this season with Baker Mayfield, Odell Beckham, and the addition of Austin Hooper. However, this is a very difficult assignment on the road against a very hungry Ravens team coming off a disappointing post-season result. The Browns might keep this competitive heading to the fourth quarter, but I expect Lamar Jackson and company to pull away and cover. I make the Ravens -12 on their home field.