I'm expecting an ugly but intense game at MetLife Stadium. With the Jets floundering offensively and the Giants missing key offensive weapons, go Under before this total falls.

The Giants and Jets have played a combined nine games at MetLife Stadium this season, and seven of those have gone Under the total. The Giants will be without both Evan Engram and Sterling Shepard, and it should be tough sledding for Saquon Barkley against a Jets D that’s allowing an NFL-best 3.1 yards per carry. The Jets’ offense is averaging 12 points per game. Take the Under.

The Jets have looked especially terrible ever since Sam Darnold saw ghosts on MNF, but getting three points against a Giants team that’s missing Evan Engram and Sterling Shepard is too many. The Giants still have Saquon Barkley, but the Jets have allowed the fewest rushing yards per carry (3.1) in the league and are No. 2 in rush DVOA. Darnold isn’t nearly as bad as he’s looked lately, and I think the Jets will keep it close in the battle of N.Y. against a bad Giants D. Grab the points.

The Jets offense ranks 32nd in many categories, including DVOA, and it's past the point where we should give them the benefit of the doubt and write off the Luke Falk starts. You can't trust them even against a bad defense like the Giants have. The Jets do rank first in yards per rush allowed on defense, and those their pass D has been bad, the Giants will be missing two of their top pass catchers with Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram on the shelf. That tells me this is going to be an ugly, low-scoring game, so I'm hopping on the Under here.

Both teams are struggling this season, and that's putting it nicely. However, the Giants seem to have much more fight in them than the Jets, especially on offense. Gang Green is near the bottom in the NFL in points scored. Meanwhile, if it wasn't for the constant turnovers by rookie quarterback Daniel Jones, the Giants could have at least two more victories in their pocket. They'll get one here against the Jets.