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Sat, Apr 2610:00 pm UTCIntuit Dome
Track OnCBS Sports
Denver
Nuggets
DEN
Last 5 ATS
W/L56-39
ATS47-48
O/U52-40-1
FINAL SCORE
101
-
99
Los Angeles
Clippers
LAC
Last 5 ATS
W/L50-32
ATS44-37
O/U37-41-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
56-39
Win /Loss
50-32
47-48
Spread
44-37
52-40-1
Over / Under
37-41-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
DEN @ LAC
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MONEYLINE
DEN @ LAC
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OVER / UNDER
DEN @ LAC
Subscribers Only

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37%
PUBLIC
63%
MONEY
27%
PUBLIC
73%
MONEY
Over90%
PUBLIC
Under10%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total PointsChristian Braun Over 11.5 Total Points -118
WIN
Unit1.0
+269
34-27 in Last 61 NBA Player Props Picks
Zack's Analysis:

The Denver Nuggets likely should be down three games in their series against the Clippers. They were fortunate to win game one in overtime, and have had less points in each game so far. Offensively Christian Braun is averaging seven points fewer then his regular season average. Look for Braun to take on a bigger role offensively as the Nuggets need to re-adjust their offense. Braun has his best game in the series from a points stand point.

Pick Made: Apr 26, 7:35 pm UTC on BetRivers
Point SpreadL.A. Clippers -6.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1985
131-101-2 in Last 234 NBA Picks
+935
59-45-1 in Last 105 NBA ATS Picks
+1050
26-14 in Last 40 DEN ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Too many internal dysfunctions on the Nuggets side. Denver doesn't have the same personnel as it did when winning the title two years ago, something that perhaps should have been considered before recently hitting the eject button on HC Michael Malone. The Clippers are an especially tough fundamental matchup for Denver because Ivica Zubac can defend the Joker better than most, but that's only the beginning, because the Clips have, for the moment, arrived at the formula to get Kawhi Leonard healthy and at peak performance when it counts in the playoffs. Kawhi's (27.3 ppg in this series) mid-range game is destroying the Nuggets, and Denver's thin bench added only 6 points in Game 3, with Russell Westbrook's foot injury now a concern. Play Clippers

Pick Made: Apr 26, 5:27 pm UTC on Caesars
Point SpreadL.A. Clippers -6 -111
LOSS
Unit1.0
+134
3-2 in Last 5 NBA Picks
+90
2-1 in Last 3 NBA ATS Picks
+819
17-8-2 in Last 27 DEN ATS Picks
Tim's Analysis:

The Clippers won by 34 points in Game 3 (first two games were decided by a combined five points) on their home floor. They are back in LA in Game 4 on Saturday and I believe the Nuggets are finished. LA rolls at home.

Pick Made: Apr 26, 2:00 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
Total PointsJamal Murray Over 20.5 Total Points -119
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2898
165-116 in Last 281 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

The Clippers are an excellent defensive team, so it can feel risky take the over on a points prop for a player on the Nuggets. However, the Nuggets have terrible depth and they might be even more compromised with Russell Westbrook (foot) and Michael Porter Jr. (shoulder) listed as questionable. Even with those two in the fold, Jamal Murray scored at least 21 points in each of the first three games of this season. He averaged 17.3 shot attempts during that span, 6.3 of which came from behind the arc. With the Nuggets looking to even up this series at two games apiece, expect Murray to at least approach 40 minutes and have a hefty usage rate.

Pick Made: Apr 26, 11:35 am UTC on BetRivers
Total Home PointsL.A. Clippers Over 109.5 Total Pts -108
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1331
30-15 in Last 45 NBA Team Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The Clippers two bigs are creating massive issues inside for the Nuggets, a bad defensive team (which is why their coach and GM got fired). Clip Joint averaging over 50 points in paint per game in series. LAC averaged over 120/G in their final 15 regular season games and they shoot much better at home (39% from 3 at home, 3rd in NBA. Made 18 3s in Game 3. They have scored 110+ in 10 of last 23 at home, averaging 118/G. Clippers are 3rd in O Net Rating at home post ASG, averaging 120.2/G.

Pick Made: Apr 25, 7:08 pm UTC on DraftKings

Best Prop Picks

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62 Total Player Props ProjectionPicks for M. Porter Jr., N. Jokic, I. Zubac, N. Batum and 58 more players!

Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Denver Nuggets
Monday, May 19, 2025
Avatar
PF
DaRon Holmes II
AchillesOut
Los Angeles Clippers
Sunday, May 04, 2025
Avatar
SG
Seth Lundy
AnkleOut

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
45%
38-46-1
49-35-1
58%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
47%
20-22
29-13
69%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
50%
11-11
30-20
60%
When Spread was +5 to +8
SPREAD
When Spread was -8 to -5
37%
3-5
9-8
52%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
52%
9-8
21-8
72%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
38%
14-22-1
23-16
59%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
45%
37-44-1
46-34-1
57%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
41%
28-40-1
40-27-1
59%
vs LAC
HEAD TO HEAD
vs DEN
28%
2-5
5-2
71%
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