We keep getting false alarms on the Magic but will give it one more go vs. Sacto. Orlando missed 25 of 30 shots beyond the arc in a 101-92 Thursday loss to Dallas, though there were some bright spots, such as 35 points from Paolo Banchero, who together with Franz Wagner accounted for almost 60% of the Magic's offense. Three wins and covers prior, however, suggested that Orlando might be able to move into the 7th spot in the East and at least get the most-favorable assignment(s) at home in the play-in round. Sacto broke a four-game skid at the expense of the fading Blazers on Thursday. Overall, the Kings have now lost 8 of 11, their West play-in spot in jeopardy. Play Magic.

Recency bias is in play today as the Orlando Magic host the Sacramento Kings. This week we saw another west coast team in the Lakers travel to Orlando as favorites and fall to the Magic. It is the only instance out of the Magic’s last eight home games that they won and covered, as they are 1-7 ATS over their last eight home games. Sacramento now has Malik Monk and Sabonis back, and will build on their win over Portland. Take the Kings on the wrong line move.

Cole Anthony (toe) is expected to miss his sixth straight game for the Magic. Anthony Black still isn’t starting, but he scored at least 13 points in four of the previous five games that Anthony has missed. Going back a little further, Black has scored at least 13 points in five of his last six games. The Kings have the 10th-worst defensive rating in the league, making this a favorable spot for Black to hit this over.

We are getting a sizable discount on this combination line for Domantas Sabonis. This would certainly qualify as a brutal matchup against the Magic who play the slowest pace in the league, in addition to possessing an excellent defense that surrenders the fewest PRA to opposing Centers. However Sabonis averages over 39 PRA and I consider him matchup proof because of his skillset and usage.