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Mon, Mar 1711:30 pm UTCMadison Square Garden
Track OnCBS Sports
Miami
Heat
MIA
Last 5 ATS
W/L37-45
ATS36-45
O/U43-37-0
FINAL SCORE
95
-
116
New York
Knicks
NY
Last 5 ATS
W/L51-31
ATS39-41
O/U40-37-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
37-45
Win /Loss
51-31
36-45
Spread
39-41
43-37-0
Over / Under
40-37-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIA @ NY
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MONEYLINE
MIA @ NY
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OVER / UNDER
MIA @ NY
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36%
PUBLIC
64%
MONEY
8%
PUBLIC
92%
MONEY
Over88%
PUBLIC
Under12%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Rebounds + AssistsMikal Bridges Over 7.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3013
143-96 in Last 239 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

The Knicks have played four straight games without Jalen Brunson, who will be sidelined again Monday. Mikal Bridges had at least eight combined rebounds and assists in each of those games. In total, he averaged 4.3 rebounds and 5.0 assists per game during that span. When he faced the Heat earlier this month, Bridges had four rebounds and eight assists. When he faced them back in October, he recorded three rebounds and six assists. Give me the over here.

Pick Made: Mar 17, 6:37 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadNew York -7.5 -108
WIN
Unit1.0
+2797
105-70-1 in Last 176 NBA Picks
+1728
47-27 in Last 74 NBA ATS Picks
+1026
30-18 in Last 48 NY ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

The Heat has fallen into a mine shaft, a seven-game skid with progressively worse results. The Griz ran the Heat off of the court in a 125-91 Saturday romp, the second consecutive game that Miami landed on exactly 91. Not necessarily a post-Jimmy Butler trade development, either; Jimmy B hadn't been playing for much of the two months prior to the trade. The loss to Memphis might be the nadir, with the Heat missing 28 of 37 triples in the humiliation. Meanwhile the Knicks return home after a Western road swing and still minus Jalen Brunson, who hasn't played since March 6, but the end of the trip encouraged, including a blowout win at Sacto and a narrow loss at red-hot Golden State. Play Knicks

Pick Made: Mar 17, 1:51 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Points + Assists + ReboundsKarl-Anthony Towns Under 40.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -106
WIN
Unit1.0
+1348
127-91 in Last 218 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

KAT is having what I would consider his best season since entering the league and has thrived at the Center position where he is a major mismatch. With that being said, I expected this line to open a few ticks lower. For starters, KAT has failed to eclipse this combo line in six of his previous seven appearances and he is averaging just 32 PRA over that sample. This is also a difficult matchup against a Miami Heat squad that is ranked 12th in Defense and plays at the 4th slowest pace. Additionally the Heat are tough on opposing Centers and have surrendered the fewest Rebounds and Assists to the position over their last 15 games.

Pick Made: Mar 17, 1:24 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total AssistsBam Adebayo Over 3.5 Total Assists +100
WIN
Unit1.0
+1308
15-2 in Last 17 NBA Player Props Picks
Mackenzie's Analysis:

Get the even money while you can. This opened at +110 and is already on its way down. Bam Adebayo has 2 assists in his last 2 games and the Heat offense is really struggling in a 7 game losing streak. But before that, Bam was on a 7-1 run to the over. I expect the Heat to pick up their offense in the Garden, and for Bam to at least just have a "normal" game. Which includes 4 assists on the night.

Pick Made: Mar 17, 12:04 pm UTC on DraftKings

Best Prop Picks

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70 Total Player Props ProjectionPicks for D. Mitchell, M. Bridges, M. Robinson and 67 more players!

Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Miami Heat
Tuesday, Dec 24, 2024
Avatar
SG
Dru Smith
AchillesOfs
Thursday, Apr 24, 2025
Avatar
PF
Kevin Love
PersonalQuestionable
Avatar
SG
Terry Rozier
AnkleQuestionable
Tuesday, Apr 22, 2025
Avatar
PG
Isaiah Stevens
FootOfs
New York Knicks
No Player Injuries

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
43%
28-37-2
31-35
47%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
38%
13-21-1
15-17
46%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
38%
12-19
27-27
50%
When Spread was +5.5 to +8.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -8.5 to -5.5
40%
4-6
7-12
36%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
38%
8-13
15-15
50%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <45% of Games
47%
11-12
14-14
50%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
43%
28-36-2
30-34
46%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
42%
22-30-1
29-27
51%
vs NY
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIA
50%
1-1
1-1
50%
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