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FanDuel. Despite finding himself in the starting lineup recently, I’m fading Brandin Podziemski in what should be a really tough matchup for him. Not only do the Magic play at a snails pace (29th), but they also grade out really well defensively (2nd overall, 5th over the last 10 games). They limit off ball scoring (fewest spot up points allowed) and are sixth in allowing transition points - the two playtypes comprise more than 45% of Podz’ points. Rebounds and assists should also be scarce (Magic are second in allowing each). And schematically, the Warriors likely won’t be able to enact as many small ball lineups as they’d like against the massive Magic front line - that could impact Podz’ playing time.
These two teams are heading in opposite directions. The Warriors are 6-1 since they traded for Jimmy Butler and all six of those wins came by at least seven points. Three of those wins also came on the road. The Magic are 5-8 over their last 13 games as they continue to struggle without Jalen Suggs. The Warriors have a clean injury report and Suggs will be out again for the Magic, so I like the Warriors to cover.
There's another angle to the current "Jimmy Butler Bounce" for the Warriors, now 6-1 SU and vs. the line since Butler arrived from Miami. But it's also on defense where Butler is helping, as the Warriors are allowing only 100 ppg their last four, and just over 104 pg since Butler arrived. We look at Orlando warily after the Magic were humiliated by the Cavs 122-82 on Tuesday; a wounded animal is dangerous, and the Magic will want to atone for their woeful 5 for 28 three-point shooting effort. But no one other than Paolo Banchero or Franz Wagner even scored in double digits, and the trendline all season in Orlando has been under (now six straight and 10-2 the last 12). Play Warriors-Magic Under
I'm willing to jump this now, because the hype around the Warriors is real. But so is their offense since Himmy Butler came to town. They've scored 125+ in 5 of 7 games with him and are 6-1 ATS with him (covering on average by 13.7/G). All six of their wins with Butler are by 7 or more points. They have covered by 18.5, 15, 22, 5.5, 7 and 14.5 points. Magic offense remains broken - 8-13 ATS since Paolo came back, averaging just 102/G with him. Cannot play from behind and Warriors have become tough to defend. Magic are 2-6 ATS vs top 10 teams since Christmas. Warriors covered vs them in first meeting.
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