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Fri, Feb 2812:00 am UTCKia Center
Track OnCBS Sports
Golden State
Warriors
GS
Last 5 ATS
W/L48-34
ATS42-39
O/U38-38-0
FINAL SCORE
121
-
115
Orlando
Magic
ORL
Last 5 ATS
W/L41-41
ATS41-41
O/U33-45-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
48-34
Win /Loss
41-41
42-39
Spread
41-41
38-38-0
Over / Under
33-45-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
GS @ ORL
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MONEYLINE
GS @ ORL
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OVER / UNDER
GS @ ORL
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76%
PUBLIC
24%
MONEY
89%
PUBLIC
11%
MONEY
Over89%
PUBLIC
Under11%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

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Total Points + Assists + ReboundsBrandin Podziemski Under 22.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+300
4-1 in Last 5 NBA Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

FanDuel. Despite finding himself in the starting lineup recently, I’m fading Brandin Podziemski in what should be a really tough matchup for him. Not only do the Magic play at a snails pace (29th), but they also grade out really well defensively (2nd overall, 5th over the last 10 games). They limit off ball scoring (fewest spot up points allowed) and are sixth in allowing transition points - the two playtypes comprise more than 45% of Podz’ points. Rebounds and assists should also be scarce (Magic are second in allowing each). And schematically, the Warriors likely won’t be able to enact as many small ball lineups as they’d like against the massive Magic front line - that could impact Podz’ playing time.

Pick Made: Feb 27, 11:28 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadGolden St. -5 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+2322
196-149-2 in Last 347 NBA Picks
+90
2-1-1 in Last 4 NBA ATS Picks
+1343
52-35 in Last 87 GS ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

These two teams are heading in opposite directions. The Warriors are 6-1 since they traded for Jimmy Butler and all six of those wins came by at least seven points. Three of those wins also came on the road. The Magic are 5-8 over their last 13 games as they continue to struggle without Jalen Suggs. The Warriors have a clean injury report and Suggs will be out again for the Magic, so I like the Warriors to cover.

Pick Made: Feb 27, 1:38 pm UTC on DraftKings
Over / UnderUnder 211.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2150
114-84-1 in Last 199 NBA Picks
+1628
59-39-1 in Last 99 NBA O/U Picks
+1136
19-7 in Last 26 GS O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

There's another angle to the current "Jimmy Butler Bounce" for the Warriors, now 6-1 SU and vs. the line since Butler arrived from Miami. But it's also on defense where Butler is helping, as the Warriors are allowing only 100 ppg their last four, and just over 104 pg since Butler arrived. We look at Orlando warily after the Magic were humiliated by the Cavs 122-82 on Tuesday; a wounded animal is dangerous, and the Magic will want to atone for their woeful 5 for 28 three-point shooting effort. But no one other than Paolo Banchero or Franz Wagner even scored in double digits, and the trendline all season in Orlando has been under (now six straight and 10-2 the last 12). Play Warriors-Magic Under

Pick Made: Feb 27, 9:03 am UTC on BetMGM
Point SpreadGolden St. -5.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+977.5
83-65 in Last 148 NBA Picks
+900
73-58 in Last 131 NBA ATS Picks
+307
12-8 in Last 20 GS ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

I'm willing to jump this now, because the hype around the Warriors is real. But so is their offense since Himmy Butler came to town. They've scored 125+ in 5 of 7 games with him and are 6-1 ATS with him (covering on average by 13.7/G). All six of their wins with Butler are by 7 or more points. They have covered by 18.5, 15, 22, 5.5, 7 and 14.5 points. Magic offense remains broken - 8-13 ATS since Paolo came back, averaging just 102/G with him. Cannot play from behind and Warriors have become tough to defend. Magic are 2-6 ATS vs top 10 teams since Christmas. Warriors covered vs them in first meeting.

Pick Made: Feb 26, 8:47 pm UTC on Caesars

Best Prop Picks

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72 Total Player Props ProjectionPicks for B. Podziemski, M. Moody, F. Wagner, P. Banchero and 68 more players!

Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Golden State Warriors
No Player Injuries
Orlando Magic
Sunday, Dec 22, 2024
Avatar
C
Moe Wagner
KneeOfs
Tuesday, Mar 04, 2025
Avatar
SG
Jalen Suggs
KneeOfs

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
53%
31-27
29-31
48%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
57%
16-12
18-12
60%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
54%
18-15
9-16
36%
When Spread was -6 to -3
SPREAD
When Spread was +3 to +6
50%
6-6
2-6
25%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
53%
7-6
4-5
44%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
50%
11-11
9-8
52%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
50%
28-27
27-30
47%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
56%
27-21
24-26
48%
vs ORL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs GS
100%
1-0
0-1
0%
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