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Thu, Feb 131:00 am UTCPaycom Center
Track OnCBS Sports
Miami
Heat
MIA
Last 5 ATS
W/L29-38
ATS26-40
O/U33-32-0
FINAL SCORE
101
-
115
Oklahoma City
Thunder
OKC
Last 5 ATS
W/L55-11
ATS41-23
O/U37-28-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
29-38
Win /Loss
55-11
26-40
Spread
41-23
33-32-0
Over / Under
37-28-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIA @ OKC
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MONEYLINE
MIA @ OKC
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OVER / UNDER
MIA @ OKC
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10%
PUBLIC
90%
MONEY
4%
PUBLIC
96%
MONEY
Over88%
PUBLIC
Under12%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Points + AssistsTyler Herro Under 28.5 Total Points + Assists -122
WIN
Unit1.0
+2114
112-79 in Last 191 NBA Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings (-105). Tyler Herro (questionable) and the Heat have the unenviable task of traveling to Oklahoma City to take on the Thunder. OKC’s number 1 ranked defense is brutal on lead guards, as they rank third against the pick and roll, second against transition, and allow the fourth fewest assists. While Herro is averaging 30.3 points plus assists this season without Jimmy Butler, he’s under in 6/9 of such games against top 8 defenses against the pick and roll. Welcome to the Dort-ure chamber, Tyler.

Pick Made: Feb 12, 3:01 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total PointsAndrew Wiggins Under 16.5 Total Points -120
WIN
Unit1.0
+1491
98-68 in Last 166 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Andrew Wiggins struggled in his debut with Miami after getting traded to the Heat at the trade deadline for Jimmy Butler. Wiggins has another tough matchup against a Thunder squad that possesses the top defense in the league. There is also some serious blowout risk here as well with Miami 13.5 point underdogs. I would play this down to 15.5.

Pick Made: Feb 12, 2:36 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadOklahoma City -13 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+2237.5
30-7 in Last 37 NBA Picks
+1755.5
84-59-1 in Last 144 NBA ATS Picks
+768
11-3 in Last 14 MIA ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

This could hit 15 points. Heat are sinking fast. Miami has failed to cover 10 of 14. Four of their last five losses are by 16+. Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last six and since Jan. 1 have been competitive really only vs POR, ORL, BKL and PHI. Miami routinely loses by double digits. OKC in great form, winning six in row, all by 12+ points. OKC is 5-1 ATS in last six covering on average by 9.94 PPG. Too much depth and length for Miami, with Big Chet back now. Always worry some guys sit before ASB but OKC seem anything but complacent these days. OKC 13-4-3 ATS vs East; 20-8-2 w/1 day rest and 18-8-1 home favorite.

Pick Made: Feb 12, 1:57 am UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Miami Heat
Tuesday, Dec 24, 2024
Avatar
SG
Dru Smith
AchillesOfs
Sunday, Mar 16, 2025
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PG
Alec Burks
BackQuestionable
Friday, Mar 14, 2025
Avatar
PF
Nikola Jovic
HandOut
Oklahoma City Thunder
Thursday, Nov 07, 2024
Avatar
PG
Nikola Topic
KneeOfs
Saturday, Mar 15, 2025
Avatar
SF
Luguentz Dort
GroinQuestionable
Avatar
SG
Aaron Wiggins
IllnessQuestionable
Avatar
SF
Jalen Williams
HipQuestionable
Avatar
SG
Alex Ducas
BackOut
Avatar
C
Chet Holmgren
RestQuestionable
Avatar
SF
Ousmane Dieng
CalfQuestionable
Friday, Mar 14, 2025
Avatar
PG
Ajay Mitchell
ToeOut
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