


CBB
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Understanding Public and Money
DraftKings (-105). Tyler Herro (questionable) and the Heat have the unenviable task of traveling to Oklahoma City to take on the Thunder. OKC’s number 1 ranked defense is brutal on lead guards, as they rank third against the pick and roll, second against transition, and allow the fourth fewest assists. While Herro is averaging 30.3 points plus assists this season without Jimmy Butler, he’s under in 6/9 of such games against top 8 defenses against the pick and roll. Welcome to the Dort-ure chamber, Tyler.
Andrew Wiggins struggled in his debut with Miami after getting traded to the Heat at the trade deadline for Jimmy Butler. Wiggins has another tough matchup against a Thunder squad that possesses the top defense in the league. There is also some serious blowout risk here as well with Miami 13.5 point underdogs. I would play this down to 15.5.
This could hit 15 points. Heat are sinking fast. Miami has failed to cover 10 of 14. Four of their last five losses are by 16+. Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last six and since Jan. 1 have been competitive really only vs POR, ORL, BKL and PHI. Miami routinely loses by double digits. OKC in great form, winning six in row, all by 12+ points. OKC is 5-1 ATS in last six covering on average by 9.94 PPG. Too much depth and length for Miami, with Big Chet back now. Always worry some guys sit before ASB but OKC seem anything but complacent these days. OKC 13-4-3 ATS vs East; 20-8-2 w/1 day rest and 18-8-1 home favorite.