The Raptors need scoring with Scottie Barnes out. When Barnes missed an 11-game stretch earlier in the season, Grady Dick averaged 19.7 points per game. With Barnes back on the sidelines Thursday against the Heat, Dick scored 22 points on 19 shot attempts, 11 of which came from behind the arc. The Bulls have played at the second-fastest pace and have the fifth-worst defensive rating in the league, which leaves Dick with plenty of scoring upside.

RJ Barrett is averaging 6.8 rebounds per game for the season, so this is a big number for him to hit. However, he does have at least eight rebounds in four of his last five games. The Bulls have played at the second-fastest pace in the league, which has contributed to them allowing the third-most rebounds per game. Given the odds for this wager, I like taking a chance on the over.

If I see a total at 240, I'm playing Under and I don't care what the teams are. This is far from a lock as the Bulls play up-tempo and no defense but even if both clubs hit their season offensive averages or defensive averages, this would still land Under that combined total by a fair amount. Doesn't quite work that way but you get the point. And maybe no Zach LaVine for the Bulls. Our model has 231 points being scored. The Under is 4-1 in Toronto's past five.

The Bulls are an over team and their offensive prowess is represented in this high figure. But it's worth noting Bulls are 6-1 to the under in their last 7 games vs bottom 10 teams. They are also under in 3 of their last 5 games overall as their totals continue to rise. Raptors can slow it down. They are under in 13 of their last 18 - all 13 of those unders were at 3.5 points below the total. They are under in 8 of 11 and this total is higher than any Raptors game has closed at this season.