Damian Lillard (concussion) has been ruled out for this matchup. He is averaging 26.0 points and 17.8 shot attempts per game, so his absence leaves the Bucks in a tough spot to score points. Expect them to lean more on Bobby Portis, who has already scored at least 15 points in three of his last four games. He averaged 15.5 points per game at home last season, compared to 12.0 points per game on the road. Also working in his favor to hit this over is that the Raptors have the worst defensive rating in the league.

The disarray that the Milwaukee Bucks are in is not going to get better in the long term. In the short term tonight is an advantageous spot against the Toronto Raptors. Toronto is 0-6 on the road this season and coming off a four-game West coast road trip against the Nuggets, Kings, Clippers, and Lakers. Even with the Bucks short handed minus Damian Lillard there should be two to three stretches of dominant basketball on the Bucks side. Take Milwaukee.

This looks like a natural spot to fade Poeltl who has been solid for the short handed Raptors through 11 games. Poeltl is averaging career highs across the board in every counting category, however that is not sustainable for a variety of reasons. He's averaging double digit shot attempts which he's very unlikely to sustain. The Raptors have been without numerous starters and rotational players and are getting healthier. Immanuel Quickley returned to the lineup over the weekend. This is also a very difficult matchup as the Bucks have been stingy on Centers and have defended the paint well all season.