Tre Mann is a strong road player. He averages 20% more points on the road than at home. As a starter, he is averaging just over this number in 31 minutes at 11.6. If we see Trae Young tonight, this could be more of a shootout game with less defense. The model makes the number 13.

Credit to the Atlanta Hawks who despite losing Trae Young to a season ending injury have continued to to play hard and are locked into the Play-In Tournament. Clint Capela is having another fine season and is averaging a double double for the 7th consecutive season, a truly impressive streak. Capela has been getting some extra run with Onyeka Okongwu on the shelf, but this is simply too rich of a line for Capela who averages 23.3 PRA. Capela will likely have to get some extra playing time to eclipse this combo line which I don't feel is likely considering the opponent. There is also some blowout risk here.

Tre Mann continues to start and log heavy minutes for the Hornets. That has helped him produce at least 11 combined rebounds and assists in both of the last two games. This is a great matchup for him to hit the over with the Hawks having played at the fifth-fastest pace in the league. Mann has faced them twice since being traded to the Hornets and he recorded at least 12 combined rebounds and assists both times.