These are teams who are digging in lately and the pressure is on. Houston MUST have it. They play good D and GS has turned a corner by committing on the D end.

Amen Thompson recently had a stretch in which he scored at least 13 points in six of eight games. However, it’s important to note that he averaged 31 minutes per game during that span. Cam Whitmore made his return from injury two games ago and Thompson has seen his playing time take a hit. He scored eight points over 20 minutes versus the Mavericks on Sunday, then he scored nine points over 25 minutes against the Timberwolves on Tuesday. I’m going with the under here in a tough matchup against a Warriors team that has allowed an average of just 99.0 points during their five-game winning streak.

This is the season for the Rockets. While they almost surely are not getting a West play-in spot regardless, they at least still have a shot and will continue to have meaningful games with a win here. A loss and it's basically over. Golden State is rolling and has been better on the road than at home, but we have to take the mega-desperate side. The Warriors have some wiggle room so it would be a bit of human nature to perhaps not match the Rockets' intensity in the franchise's biggest game since 2020. No team has a better home ATS mark than Houston.

Jalen Green has been on fire and I've unsuccessfully attempted to fade him numerous times. I am not a quitter, and I still believe he will come crashing down to earth sooner than later. The Warriors have proven to be a good defensive unit in meaningful settings and this should certainly qualify as one of those games.