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Russell is 10/10 over when LBJ is out. This will go to 7.5 if he is ruled out. Let’s take this now and play ahead.
Corey Kispert is enjoying his best season in the NBA in terms of points per game. With several starters out, Kispert’s getting a big rise in playing time. In yesterday’s upset victory over the Milwaukee Bucks he scored a season high 27 points in 38 minutes. Look for Kispert to go over his points prop again, as he scored twenty against the Lakers on February 29th.
Second of a B2B for both. Kyle Kuzma will play as expected after sitting Tuesday for the Wiz ... this play is largely dependent on one of LeBron James or Anthony Davis sitting (both would be swell). I do think that's very realistic with a second game in 24 hours and end of a grueling six-game trip. LA is pretty safely in the play-in now so it in theory could afford to rest both if it felt the need to gear up for the stretch run. Just really feels like a throwaway game but I've certainly been wrong before and will be again.
No time to fool around for the Lake Show, which is doing its darnedest to avoid the play-in (right now, LA would be matched in a do-or-die 9 vs. 10 one-off vs. the Warriors). That means little chance LeBron or AD take tonight off like they might have earlier in the season in the second night of back-to-backs. In the Lakers' last seven wins, they're also scoring at a 128 pg clip, and the kicker here is that in the Lake Show's last ten in second nights of back-to-backs, they've gone "over" in each (sheesh!). Let's see how the Wiz responds after upsetting the Bucks last night, but we'll take our chances with Lakers trendlines from this season. Play Lakers-Wiz "Over"
This assist prop for D'Angelo Russell is what I would consider a free roll. If you're unfamiliar with the term, let me explain. Russell averages 6.4 APG and this would certainly qualify as a plus matchup against the Wizards considering they play at the fastest pace in the NBA (more possessions = more assist opportunities), and unsurprisingly WAS surrenders the second most APG (29.1), which all looks fantastic. This before factoring in that Lebron is Questionable and I would guess closer to Doubtful to appear in the second leg of a B2B. Russell is averaging 10.8 APG in 10 games without Lebron this season and has eclipsed this line in every game. If Lebron is ruled out this line could jump to 8.5.