I have been waiting for this number to go down all day, now that it hasn’t, I can’t pass it up. The Spurs are lousy, but no team is lousy everywhere. The only thing they do well is that they stop your big fellas. Smith’s number is too high. Under.

Fred VanVleet has been shooting his shot. He has cashed 20+ points in four of his last five games. But more importantly, his shot volume has been consistently up with 15+ FGA in the last five games. The Spurs allow 40% three-point shooting on the road, and PGs with similar averages are 6-1 to this number when playing the Spurs.

This is a huge number for Jabari Smith who averages approximately 23.6 PRA on the season. This number is likely inflated as a result of playing the Spurs who have been a turnstile defensively, however this matchup may not be as enticing as it appears at first glance. According to the majority of defensive metrics the Spurs were the worst defense in the NBA for a large chunk of the season, however they've been better recently and they're likely not as bad as the oddsmakers believe them to be. San Antonio has also been very stingy against opposing PFs. The Spurs have surrendered the fourth fewest points to the position over their last thirty games. We fade!