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RJ Barrett has played well since joining Toronto prior to the trade deadline but his shooting percentages are not sustainable. This is a guy who shoots a career 43% from the field and 34% from three, that is shooting 55% from the field and 41% from deep.
This is a chunky combo line for RJ Barrett who averages a combined 27.8 PRA on the season. This number is inflated as a result of Scottie Barnes being sidelined, thus thrusting Barrett into lead guard duties. Regardless of the outcome of this prop, I believe it is unlikely that Barrett sees a significant spike in his production and if anything I could see his efficiency dropping off. This is also a sneaky tough matchup against a Pels squad that is ranked 7th in Defense, while playing at the 10th slowest Pace, and defend lead guards well. New Orleans are also double digit favorites which certainly indicates there is some blowout risk that could lead to less playing time for Barrett.
Brandon Ingram enters this matchup with back-to-back games in which he scored at least 30 points. Going back further, he has scored at least 22 points in four straight games. The Raptors are going to be shorthanded for this matchup and will be missing three of their better defenders in Scottie Barnes (hand), Bruce Brown Jr. (knee) and Jakob Poeltl (finger). The last time he faced the Raptors, Ingram scored 41 points in just 30 minutes. While there is blowout potential here, I still think Ingram hits the over.