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Boston has limited opposing teams to 101 points per game this postseason and held Golden State to 99.5 points per game during the regular season. The Warriors have score an impressive 118 points per game at home during their title run, though. Four straight NBA Finals games have tallied at least 214 points and I think that trend will continue as these two teams look to figure each other out.
Golden State has played extremely successful at home this postseason. The Dubs have covered in seven of their nine games as home favorites. The Celtics have failed to cover in three consecutive Game 1's while losing two of those contests by double-digits. I'll roll with the Warriors here until Boston proves it can rise to the occasion and not start the series slow.
The NBA Finals are finally here. This should be a fun matchup between the Celtics and Warriors, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see a long series. The Warriors will have the advantage of starting things off at home, where they are 9-0 during their playoff run. That comes on the heels of them posting a 31-10 record at home during the regular season. Add in the Celtics coming off of a grueling series against the Heat and I like the Warriors to start things off with a win in Game 1.
The Warriors are cash money in their history of Game 1s under Steve Kerr and have won 13 straight home Game 1s in the playoffs, including by an average margin of 14.6 points this postseason. I doubt this game will be that lopsided, but I'm not sure how healthy Boston's Robert Williams and Marcus Smart actually are. Golden State, meanwhile, could get back defensive stud Gary Payton II and even Andre Iguodala on Thursday. Incidentally, this will be the first-ever NBA Finals game in San Francisco.