Simulation Picks
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Understanding Public and Money
Expert Picks
This series has been all about homecourt advantage. Not only has the home team won all six games, but they also covered all six. The Suns were at least six-point favorites in all three games in Phoenix, two of which they won by at least 20 points. As impressive as Luka Doncic and company have been in Dallas, I like the Suns to advance, and cover, at home.
Sometimes, when a series goes seven games, it just delays the inevitable. The Suns have been a disastrous road team in this series, but the Mavericks have been equally poor in Phoenix. Expect the Suns to rise to the occasion after an embarrassing showing in Game 6. Take Phoenix as it makes this look like a regular-season game instead of a Game 7.
The home team has won and covered all six games so far, and it's a trend I’m backing for Game 7. The Suns played their absolute worst in Game 6, with 22 turnovers, only three steals and two blocked shots. That is why I like them in this spot. They were embarrassed and had to stew over it for two days. For this money game, we’ll get the complete Suns package, which includes Chris Paul showing up. The Suns will play angry and with a purpose. I don’t expect the game to be close. Suns to cover.