The 76ers and Heat met four times during the regular season and averaged 201 points per game. Both sides are missing key defensive pieces ahead of Monday's matchup in Joel Embiid and Kyle Lowry, so quality looks should be easier to come by for both teams. Philly gave up 110.7 points per game without Embiid during the regular season while Miami forked up 106.1 points per contests without Lowry. I'll take the over.

I think the Sixers are better prepared to play well without Joel Embiid. They went 6-8 without him this season, including wins in their last three without him, one against Memphis and another against Miami, led by Tyrese Maxey. They also beat Denver in November without Embiid. Maxey's confidence has grown as a player, and James Harden looks bouncy lately and is a piece Philadelphia didn’t have then. I took the points with the 76ers.

Sometimes people give me grief for taking such big favorites. I also want to give you the news when it happens. I got pinged about Joel Embiid being out with an injury a few minutes ago and got this in at this number. You may not. But the Sixers have no shot now so I hope this finds you where you can take advantage on the Game 1/series line