Simulation Picks
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Understanding Public and Money
Expert Picks
Hard to trust the Cavs, but this feels like easy money with Kyle Lowry, Fred VanVleet and Pascal Siakam all out for Toronto. Cleveland is coming off back-to-back blowout road wins over similarly short-handed teams.
It's almost easier to list who will be available for the Raptors, rather than who they will be without Saturday. Fred VanVleet (hip) and Pascal Siakam (rest) have been ruled out, and Kyle Lowry (foot) is listed as doubtful, so they are likely to be without the majority of their starting five. The Cavaliers have been awful on the road with an 8-19 record, but they are 11-13 at home, including 12-12 ATS. I'll lay the points.
The Cavs' modest two-game winning streak has made this line less than what it should be. In addition Kyle Lowry has been upgraded to questionable after missing the team's past five games. My model says the Raptors cover more than two-thirds of the time and win by nine, so you're getting strong value at this number.