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Fri, Mar 2811:10 pm UTCloanDepot park
Track OnCBS Sports
Pittsburgh
Pirates
PIT
Last 4 ML
W/L1-3
ATS0-4
O/U2-2-0
FINAL SCORE
4
-
3
Miami
Marlins
MIA
Last 4 ML
W/L3-1
ATS4-0
O/U2-2-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 4 ML
1-3
Win /Loss
3-1
0-4
Spread
4-0
2-2-0
Over / Under
2-2-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
PIT @ MIA
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
PIT @ MIA
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OVER / UNDER
PIT @ MIA
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87%
PUBLIC
13%
MONEY
82%
PUBLIC
18%
MONEY
Over99%
PUBLIC
Under1%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Pitcher OutsConnor Gillispie Over 14.5 Total Pitcher Outs -130
WIN
Unit0.5
Matt's Analysis:

It's the first MLB start in the career of Marlins righty Connor Gillispie, who made three relief appearances last year for Cleveland in his MLB debut. While not always, I will generally play a pitcher Over 14.5 outs. The Pirates aren't very good at the plate, haven't seen him before, and Gillispie went 4.1 strong in his final spring start. He was stellar in all of the Grapefruit League. If it's at all possible, Marlins manager Clayton McCullough you would think would allow Gillispie to try and earn his first big-league win barring of course getting shelled (not too worried about that) or too many pitches (moderately worried about that). Our model has him at 5.1 innings. 5 is fine.

Pick Made: Mar 28, 2:27 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Pitcher StrikeoutsMitch Keller Under 5.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts -125
WIN
Unit1.0
+630
10-4 in Last 14 MLB Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Fading a 6th strikeout here at -125. This line should be -145.

Pick Made: Mar 28, 12:57 pm UTC on DraftKings
Money LinePittsburgh -130
WIN
Unit1.0
+534
7-6 in Last 13 MLB Picks
+361
6-2 in Last 8 PIT ML Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The Pirates have their issues, for sure, but the Marlins very well could be the NL's version of the '24 Chi Sox. It's looking incredibly bleak and starting Conner Gillispie in Game 2 is quite a choice. I saw plenty of him as an Orioles farmhand. Again, quite a choice. Mitch Keller is more than solid for the Pirates and had a nice spring. I will be fading these Marlins religiously early and expect Vegas will have +2.5 showing up in these Fish lines by late April. The Marlins are dealing with some injuries to an already threadbare roster.

Pick Made: Mar 27, 7:48 pm UTC on DraftKings

Best Prop Picks

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45 Total Player Props ProjectionPicks for M. Keller, B. Reynolds, C. Gillispie, K. Stowers and 41 more players!

Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates
Sunday, Mar 30, 2025
Avatar
RP
Burch Smith
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
RP
Tanner Rainey
UndisclosedIl
Friday, Mar 28, 2025
Avatar
2B
Nick Gonzales
AnkleIl
Thursday, Mar 27, 2025
Avatar
SP
Jared Jones
ElbowIl
Avatar
1B
Spencer Horwitz
WristIl
Avatar
SP
Carlson Reed
UndisclosedIl
Monday, Mar 03, 2025
Avatar
SP
Johan Oviedo
LatIl
Wednesday, Feb 19, 2025
Avatar
RP
Dauri Moreta
ElbowIl
Miami Marlins
Sunday, Mar 30, 2025
Avatar
RP
Jesus Tinoco
BackIl
Friday, Mar 28, 2025
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CF
Jesus Sanchez
ObliqueIl
Avatar
RP
Declan Cronin
HipIl
Thursday, Mar 27, 2025
Avatar
SP
Edward Cabrera
FingerIl
Avatar
SP
Ryan Weathers
ForearmIl
Avatar
3B
Connor Norby
ObliqueIl
Sunday, Mar 16, 2025
Avatar
RP
Andrew Nardi
BackIl
Thursday, Feb 20, 2025
Avatar
SP
Eury Perez
ElbowIl
Wednesday, Feb 12, 2025
Avatar
SP
Braxton Garrett
ElbowIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
0%
0-1, -100
1-0, +127
100%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
0%
0-1, -100
1-0, +127
100%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
0%
0-1, -100
1-0, +127
100%
When Line was -157 to -127
MONEY LINE
When Line was +105 to +135
0%
0-1, -100
1-0, +127
100%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
0%
0-1, -100
1-0, +127
100%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
0%
0-1, -100
1-0, +127
100%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
0%
0-1, -100
1-0, +127
100%
2nd game without a day off
REST
2nd game without a day off
0%
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
0%
vs MIA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs PIT
0%
0-1, -100
1-0, +127
100%
when Mitch Keller starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Connor Gillispie starts
0%
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
0%
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