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Thu, Oct 179:08 pm UTCProgressive Field
57 F
Track OnCBS Sports
New York
Yankees
NYY
Last 5 ML
W/L102-74
ATS89-87
O/U93-78-5
FINAL SCORE
5
-
7
Cleveland
Guardians
CLE
Last 5 ML
W/L96-74
ATS85-85
O/U72-86-12
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
102-74
Win /Loss
96-74
89-87
Spread
85-85
93-78-5
Over / Under
72-86-12
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
NYY @ CLE
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MONEYLINE
NYY @ CLE
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OVER / UNDER
NYY @ CLE
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82%
PUBLIC
18%
MONEY
77%
PUBLIC
23%
MONEY
Over80%
PUBLIC
Under20%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineN.Y. Yankees -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1708
63-43-2 in Last 108 MLB Picks
+634
20-14 in Last 34 MLB ML Picks
+320
4-1 in Last 5 NYY ML Picks
Micah's Analysis:

The Yankees have won Clarke Schmidt’s last two starts and they’ve also won their last four against Cleveland. With Jose Ramirez not hitting for Cleveland they have no zip in their step and look like a dead man walking. I watched the first two games and saw no hope for Cleveland. That's sad to say in the championship series but it's how I felt. But this is who Cleveland is. They thought they could go far with a great bullpen and a subpar starting staff and they did. Aaron Judge should hit another home run because he has to have another once he opens the seal. They come in bunches with that guy. Yankees win.

Pick Made: Oct 17, 4:13 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Total Stolen BasesJose Ramirez Over 0.5 Total Stolen Bases +295
WIN
Unit0.25
+1219.25
106-79 in Last 185 MLB Player Props Picks
Angelo's Analysis:

Jose Trevino should be behind the plate for the Yankees tonight as Aaron Boone said last night that Austin Wells would likely get a day off today. Trevino was an astounding 13 for 70 this year when attempting to throw runners out, and with Cleveland in a 2-0 hole here, I think their offense gets scrappy and they do whatever they need to do to get a win. The Guardians ranked 2nd in the AL this year for stolen bases and Jose Ramirez has one again put himself in the MVP discussion due to his power/speed combo. When runners are on base tonight, they should ALL be looking to steal against Trevino, but Jose Ramirez at 3-1 is the main guy I'm backing!

Pick Made: Oct 17, 1:05 pm UTC on DraftKings
Over / UnderOver 7 -120
WIN
Unit1.0
+1919
56-33-3 in Last 92 MLB O/U Picks
+600
8-2 in Last 10 NYY O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

This is not the top pitching matchup of this ALCS, we might expect these teams to clear 7 runs in Game 3 by Lake Erie. Clarke Schmidt looks perhaps the weak link in the Yankees rotation at the moment, as he's not lasting beyond five innings in recent starts, and a very so-so 4.50 ERA in his last three starts. Meanwhile, Matthew Boyd isn't lasting much longer (or, make that any longer) lately for Cleveland, as he hasn't been on the mound for more than 4 1/3 innings since September 6 vs. the Dodgers. With Aaron Judge perhaps warming up after hitting his first homer of this postseason in Game 2, at least the Yankees offense looks like it's ready to rock. Play Yankees-Guardians Over

Pick Made: Oct 17, 4:35 am UTC on Caesars
Point SpreadCleveland +1 -135
WIN
Unit1.0
+359
12-6 in Last 18 MLB Picks
+314
6-2 in Last 8 MLB ATS Picks
+571.5
16-5-1 in Last 22 CLE ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Goes without saying that Game 3 is the series for the Guards, and Cleveland did have the majors' best home record during the season. Lefty Matthew Boyd has been terrific off Tommy John surgery and not allowed a run in two outings this postseason. New York was under .500 during the year vs. southpaws. Guardians all-world closer Emmanuel Clase hasn't even pitched in the series because his team hasn't come close to late-inning lead yet. I expect a lot of Cleveland small-ball in a return home: stolen bases, bunts, hit and run, etc., and maybe steal one game. It needs to do whatever necessary to score first.

Pick Made: Oct 16, 10:24 pm UTC on BetRivers

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Team Injuries

New York Yankees
Thursday, May 01, 2025
Avatar
DH
Giancarlo Stanton
ElbowIl
Wednesday, Apr 30, 2025
Avatar
C
Alex Jackson
UndisclosedIl
Tuesday, Apr 29, 2025
Avatar
2B
Jazz Chisholm
ObliqueQuestionable
Monday, Apr 28, 2025
Avatar
SP
Marcus Stroman
KneeIl
Avatar
RP
Scott Effross
HamstringIl
Friday, Apr 25, 2025
Avatar
RP
Jake Cousins
ElbowIl
Friday, Apr 18, 2025
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3B
DJ LeMahieu
CalfIl
Avatar
RP
Jonathan Loaisiga
ElbowIl
Tuesday, Apr 01, 2025
Avatar
SP
J.T. Brubaker
RibsIl
Wednesday, Mar 26, 2025
Avatar
RP
Clayton Beeter
ShoulderIl
Avatar
SP
Jayvien Sandridge
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
RP
Kevin Stevens
UndisclosedIl
Monday, Mar 24, 2025
Avatar
SP
Luis Gil
LatIl
Saturday, Mar 22, 2025
Avatar
SP
Gerrit Cole
ElbowIl
Cleveland Guardians
Thursday, May 01, 2025
Avatar
CF
Lane Thomas
WristIl
Avatar
CF
George Valera
KneeIl
Tuesday, Apr 29, 2025
Avatar
RP
Paul Sewald
ShoulderIl
Avatar
SP
Shane Bieber
ElbowIl
Monday, Apr 28, 2025
Avatar
SP
Jack Leftwich
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
RP
Trevor Stephan
ElbowIl
Avatar
SP
Slade Cecconi
ObliqueIl
Saturday, Apr 26, 2025
Avatar
RP
Erik Sabrowski
ElbowIl
Wednesday, Apr 23, 2025
Avatar
P
Allan Hernandez
UndisclosedIl
Tuesday, Apr 08, 2025
Avatar
SP
John Means
ElbowIl
Saturday, Mar 29, 2025
Avatar
C
David Fry
ElbowIl
Monday, Feb 17, 2025
Avatar
RP
Sam Hentges
ShoulderIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
56%
94-73, -243
97-71, +1683
57%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
57%
47-35, +557
51-32, +596
61%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
62%
73-43, +405
38-40, +746
48%
When Line was -126 to +104
MONEY LINE
When Line was -124 to +106
58%
24-17, +478
25-14, +905
64%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
66%
30-15, +627
10-10, +36
50%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
56%
37-29, +32
25-27, +209
48%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
54%
19-16, -190
18-26, -707
40%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
64%
18-10, +418
21-12, +709
63%
vs CLE
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYY
80%
4-1, +188
1-4, -292
20%
when Clarke Schmidt starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Matt Boyd starts
70%
12-5, +366
4-3, +67
57%
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