The Miami Marlins are coming off a comeback win over the New York Yankees on Sunday. The victory is their fourth over their last five games, which is their best stretch since early July. Outside of Framer Valdez no hitter against the LA Angels, he has been subpar including allowing six runs his last start to the Orioles. Back the home underdog here in the Marlins.

I did go a bit back and forth here wondering if it's wise to maybe back Miami still riding a high of Sunday's miracle comeback win over the Yankees or if the Fish might be a bit flat. I am obviously leaning the latter. There may not be 10K people at whatever silly lowercase thing they call the stadium these days tonight after near sellouts and playoff atmosphere all weekend against the Yankees. Not sure if you heard that New Yorkers like to live in/visit south Florida. I may have still taken Miami RL but Braxton Garrett has been strangely much worse at home and a couple Marlins regulars are out.

The Astros have not struggled on the road, where they are 35-25 this season. The reason I like them to win this game is that Braxton Garrett will be starting for the Marlins. He has struggled at home, where he has a 5.40 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Also, the Astros have the fifth-highest OPS in baseball against left-handed pitchers. Don’t expect the Marlins to be able to score enough against Framber Valdez to keep up with the Astros’ lineup.

Coming off of a no hitter Framber Valdez struggled his last game out against the Orioles. I expect Framber to produce a quality outing against Miami. Braxton Garrett will be on the mound for the Marlins and Houston is excellent versus opposing lefties. I'll back the Astros on the road.