Devin Booker and the Suns have been struggling. …

Another day another Deni Avdija fade. You’d think judging by the amount of times I’ve faded him recently that I’m not a fan, however that is not the case. I’m just dispassionate and I firmly believe the oddsmakers continue to over inflate his lines. While this may be a good matchup, Avdija is less productive on the road. The Blazers also have a bevy of high usage players and volume scorers. Avdija took 18 shots in his last outing and still stayed under this line.

Anfernee Simons has proven to be a streaky scorer but he’s a very talented scorer and has a green light in Portland’s offense. He’s facing a Kings team that doesn’t play much defense and plays at a fast pace. Simons averages nearly 3 additional PPG on the road and this game will be played in Sacramento. Simons is coming off a dreadful performance and I like his chances of bouncing back.

Josh Giddey has been playing the best basketball of his career, however this line is now approaching Jayson Tatum/Anthony Edwards territory. Giddey is also a regression candidate when it comes to his perimeter shooting. The Lakers also are a tough matchup as they not only have been playing good defense but a very slow pace. If LeBron and Luka suit up there is certainly some additional blowout potential here as well.

Naji Marshall has stepped pumping time for the short handed Mavericks. While we’ve successfully backed his RA line recently this is a bigger number and arguably the most difficult matchup as Orlando not only surrenders the fewest RA in the league, they also play at the slowest pace. Lastly, Anthony Davis could suit up for this game, and even if he doesn’t there is some big blowout potential.

This is a nice discount and buy low opportunity on Jrue Holidays PRA line. Boston is set to play without MVP candidate Jayson Tatum who is one of the highest usage players in the league. I expect Jrue to be one of the biggest beneficiaries considering he’s a more capable scorer and playmaker than his numbers suggest. We’re also getting a sizable discount considering he’s had a couple of low output games. I like the matchup against Phoenix who should be competitive and are very generous to opposing guards. Jrue doesn’t even have to shoot well or do a whole lot to eclipse a line this low. I’d play this up to 19.5.

Karl Anthony Towns and the New York Knicks have been struggling as of late. The Knicks are playing the second half of a B2B against a Clipper team that is playing very well. The Clippers have been very tough on opposing Centers surrendering the third fewest points to the position this season. I’d play this down to 26.5 for 1u.

Quentin Grimes has stepped for a depleted 76ers squad and as he looks forward to becoming a free agent in the summer, he has most certainly earned himself a nice contract. While he’s proven to be a capable scorer, he doesn’t offer much as a playmaker and is rebounding metrics aren’t impressive either, despite a big uptick in usage. I have Grimes projected at 9.3 RA tonight which is a sizable edge.

This is a large combo line for Deni Avdija who to his credit is having a terrific stretch of basketball, however I think he’s a regression candidate. This could be a tough spot as the Cavs defend opposing forwards well, in addition to having some blowout potential which could result in fewer minutes.

Things are not going well for the Knicks and Josh Hart has been struggling playing without Jalen Brunson. Hart is a favorite of Tom Thibadeau however he looks worn down to me and his frustrations with his coach have been evident. Hart is a fade for me right now and I also expect to see him play fewer minutes down the stretch.

This is a big number for Franz who is certainly a solid playmaker but averages under 5.0 APG on the season. Wagners usage and assists total also takes a significant hit when he plays alongside Paolo Banchero, with Paolo in the lineup, Franz averages just 3.7 APG per game, compared to 6.4 without him. I would also rate this a difficult matchup versus a Laker team that has been playing very slow.

This is a big number for Aaron Gordon even without Nikola Jokic in the lineup. The Nuggets have no shortage of high volume scorers in Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Michael Porter Jr. I would also consider this a difficult matchup against a good Houston defense that has lots of length and numerous plus defenders to make life difficult for Gordon.

Kawhi Leonard has eclipsed this scoring prop in four consecutive games and is coming off an impressive 33 point performance against the Cavs where he shot 12-19 from the field and 5-6 from the perimeter. Leonard has scored at least 20+ in eight of his last nine appearances. The former finals MVP has resembled himself at his peak powers. I also like this matchup for Leonard against a Memphis team that leads the league in possessions per game. This game has a healthy total and I expect Kawhi to stay hot. I’d play this for 1u at 22.5.

Naji Marshall has eclipsed this combo line in five of eight appearances since being inserted into the starting lineup after Kyrie Irving suffered a season ending injury. Marshall is averaging 12.3 combined Reb+Ast as a starter, in addition to playing a whopping 38 MPG. If Dallas can hang with the visiting Pistons, I like Marshall’s chances of piling up at least 10+ RA.

This is s hefty line for Miles Bridges who averages 21 PPG on the season. The Hornets could possibly be shorthanded tonight and missing LaMelo Ball which is why this line is bloated. Even without LaMelo in the lineup, Bridges averages 22 PPG. This is also an extremely difficult matchup vs the best defense in the league, furthermore, the Thunder excel are limiting the opposing teams top scorer. Charlotte are also nearly 20 point underdogs which is some massive blowout potential as well.