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It remains uncertain if ailing Tennessee QB Nico Iamaleava can play. What is definite: premier Georgia RB Trevor Etienne is out. Two other RBs are iffy at best, which leaves freshman Nate Frazier as the lone healthy ball-carrier with meaningful stats. In the betting world, the Bulldogs are living off their recent past. At full strength, the Volunteers are superior, as the rankings indicate. Iamaleava's absence would hurt the Vols but would not necessarily be fatal.
I'm playing the Vols here at +11, a line that suggests Nico Iamaleava won’t play for Tennessee. If he does, this line likely moves back to 8 or 8.5, which would be favorable for us. Backup QB Gaston Moore knows this offense better than Nico, having spent his entire career in Josh Heupel’s system. Look for Tennessee to lean on a defense that profiles similarly to Ole Miss, which gave Georgia trouble. Moore isn’t afraid to throw deep, as he drew three defensive PI calls in the second half of the last game. Georgia likely wins, but the Vols cover within the key number of +11
In a must win game for Georgia, look for their defense to play one of it's best games of the year, especially if Tennessee QB Nico Iamaleava isn't 100% healthy. These teams are combining to give up an average of 31 points per game, so based on that, this total seems too high. Saturday will be the first time the Volunteers have surrendered more than 20 points in a game this season and the Bulldogs will keep their CFP hopes alive. Georgia 26, Tennessee 16.