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Little went right for the Longhorns in their 30-15 defeat last week to Georgia that cost them the top ranking in the country. No doubt Vandy's three upset victories and newly minted No. 25 ranking will have Texas' attention. Vandy barely pulled away from a dreadful Ball State club last week and it is facing what should be an inspired Longhorns unit at the wrong time.
Longhorns quarterback Quinn Ewers has been dealing with an oblique strain and doesn't look right. Texas coach Steve Sarkisian may pivot to the running game if Ewers continues to struggle. Meanwhile Vanderbilt ranks 11th in the country in time of possession. The Commodores will try to shorten this game. Under is the right play. Give me two units.
If Longhorns quarterback Quinn Ewers were healthy and playing well, I'd pick Texas to cover in what is supposed to be a get-well game after last week's loss to Georgia. But he hasn't looked right since going out with an oblique strain a month ago. Meanwhile, the Commodores like to run the ball and control the clock, which is the perfect ingredient for a cover. Vanderbilt quarterback Diego Pavia can make enough plays with his arm and feet to get the cover. Something like 28-13 sounds right.
The Commodores have been a great story but they're about to run into a buzzsaw of a Texas defense. The Longhorns are #1 in the nation in points per game allowed, total yards allowed, and passing touchdowns allowed. I don't see many scenarios where Vanderbilt scores more than 17 points, and likely less. Texas 31, Vanderbilt 13.