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Oregon is one of the best Power 4 teams, and Purdue is one of the worst. But 30.5 points are a lot to lay on a Friday night on the road, just six days after a hotly contested win over Ohio State. Aren't the Ducks due for a letdown in West Lafayette? Also, Boilermakers quarterback Ryan Browne seemed to give Purdue some much-needed juice last week, and he's set to start again. Only one team will be excited to play this game. Give me the Boilers.
In Eugene under normal circumstances, Oregon may win by 50. But this screams trap game for the Ducks off their mega-entertaining and physical win over Ohio State last Saturday. Then you add the short-week travel. Big Ten teams traveling at least two time zones are 3-10 SU & 4-9 ATS this season. Oregon's two trips so far have been to Oregon State and a short flight to Los Angeles. Purdue was forced to make a QB change last weekend due to injury, but it might have been the best thing for embattled coach Ryan Walters as Ryan Browne threw for nearly 300 yards and three scores and rushed for 118 yards in his first NCAA start as the Boilers nearly upset ranked Illinois.
En route to its apparent fifth straight one-sided loss, Purdue rallied from a 24-point deficit at Illinois, only to fall by one in overtime. The Boilermakers, out of disappointment, could raise a white flag on the rest of the season. Or they could enter an upset opportunity here with renewed vigor. Freshman QB Ryan Browne might have felt nerves at first against the Illini and should be composed from the get-go against the Ducks. Oregon is susceptible to a letdown after an instant classic win over Ohio State and must travel a good distance on a short week.