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Ohio State will have a ton of success on both sides of the ball. Iowa is improved offensively but will look a lot like the previous years against this talented Ohio State defense. Buckeyes run it up in this one. This line should be on the other side of 21.
The last three meetings between Iowa and Ohio State have gone over the total. The lowest of the three totals was 50. They're still sitting too low this season even though Iowa has gone 4-0 to the over. Ohio State has gone over three of four. This game is at Ohio Stadium and they'll be playing this game led by Cade McNamara the former Michigan quarterback for Iowa. Ohio State hasn't scored less than 38 points in their four games this year. They've gone over this total by themselves three times this season. Over is a play.
Kaleb Johnson has been fantastic for the Hawkeyes, but he's the only move they have, and I can't forget the second half of the Iowa State game when the Cyclones shut him down and Iowa was helpless. If Iowa State can do it, so can Ohio State, and they're just a little better offensively too!
Two of the misconceptions about Iowa leading to the over cashing in all four games include both an offense that has gotten more productive but also a defense that has been uncharacteristic in terms of giving up big plays. That big play potential is always there with Ohio State and I think the Hawkeyes will be able to score enough to get this game over the total.
The Buckeyes are on a mission and I’m not sure how their offense gets stopped by an Iowa defense that doesn’t appear to be as good as in previous seasons. Iowa is 0-6-1 ATS in their past 7 games vs AP-ranked teams (avg loss: 27.3 PPG). Last season, they were shut out by all three ranked teams they faced. OSU has beaten every team they have faced by 30+ thus far so why not again? Ohio State 40, Iowa 10.