I'm putting my money where my mouth is. I've said all season long that this Georgia team was dominant, and I've talked about how Alabama isn't as good as the Alabama teams we're used to. The point will be proven in Atlanta, as I expect the Bulldogs to overwhelm a weak Alabama offensive line with the best defense in the country, and make life miserable for Heisman hopeful Bryce Young.

SEC title game from Atlanta. It's often dangerous when a team hasn't played a close game in many weeks, and Georgia hasn't been challenged since the season opener. Alabama has been in a few tight games, including last week -- I believe this line is slightly inflated because the Tide were nearly upset by Auburn. I don't take much from that. Also consider the Dawgs know they are in the playoff regardless. It's win or out for Alabama. I can't bet against Nick Saban with this many points and against one of his former assistants -- even though Texas A&M's Jimbo Fisher became the first to beat him back on Oct. 9. If I though this might get to -7, I'd wait. But it's not going to. I frankly hope Georgia wins by 50 but more likely by 3-6 points. And Bama certainly could win.

Alabama is in an extremely rare position as an underdog, but that is a reflection of both how good Georgia has been and how the Crimson Tide has performed against better opposition. In particular, Alabama has had big problems running the football. The Tide has managed to win some games where they were mostly one-dimensional, but that won't work against the Bulldogs, and they can make offenses one-dimensional. Actually, none-dimensional. Go with the Dawgs.

This Georgia machine has averaged a 40-6 score this season. The Bulldogs lead the nation in allowing only 6.9 ppg and 230 ypg. Alabama comes in feeling fortunate after struggles against Auburn, Arkansas and LSU. The Tide won but didn't breed confidence. They aren't as good and dominant as past Alabama teams. The Georgia defense will give the Alabama offense problems stuffing the run and harassing the passing game. Georgia has the edge knowing it will likely make the playoffs even with a loss. Take Georgia to cover.

The Crimson Tide’s offensive line has been a constant problem against halfway decent defenses this year, and Georgia’s defense is one of the best we’ve seen this decade. No disrespect to Alabama quarterback Bryce Young, but he’ll make a few mistakes due to the unrelenting pressure that Georgia will bring. The Bulldogs are 8-3 against the spread this year, and there’s no doubt that coach Kirby Smart will keep his foot on the gas for a long time considering the history of these two teams inside Mercedes-Benz Stadium.