The current number represents nearly a field goal drop from the opener of -6, and the anti-Miami sentiment is understandable. The Hurricanes never seem to meet the hype, and lopsided losses to Alabama and Michigan State are fresh in many memories. Even so, Virginia hasn't fared a lot better, giving up 96 combined points in consecutive blowout losses to North Carolina and Wake Forest. Miami also has won five of the last six matchups in this series, and hasn't fallen to Virginia at home in 10 years.

The past three in this series, for what it's worth, have all fallen at least 17 points short of the total in low-scoring affairs. The Under is 3-0 vs, FBS teams for Miami this season, which is averaging just 18.3 points in those games. UM also is expected to be without starting QB D'Eriq King for a second straight game. Virginia does have a high-powered offense but was held to 17 points last week against Wake Forest. This feels like a 31-27 game in whichever direction.

This could be it for Hurricanes coach Manny Diaz, and Virginia might be the team that throws the knockout punch. The Hurricanes defense has been a disappointment. Miami is 0-3 against the spread this season, and it's hard to imagine a scenario where its offense suddenly clicks. Take the Cavaliers and consider a little moneyline sprinkle for good measure.

I've nearly reached the point where I'm not sure any team in the ACC deserves to be favored by more than three points against any other team in the conference, and I'm certainly there when it comes to trusting Miami. There just isn't anything about this team right now that you can point to as a sign of good things to come, and while Virginia has been inconsistent, it's capable of making big plays offensively. Miami isn't, so I'm taking the points with the Hoos.