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Fri, Mar 071:00 am UTCCarver-Hawkeye Arena
Track OnCBS Sports
Michigan St.
Spartans
MICHST
Last 5 ATS
W/L24-5
ATS19-10
O/U10-21-0
FINAL SCORE
91
-
84
Iowa
Hawkeyes
IOWA
Last 5 ATS
W/L13-15
ATS13-17
O/U16-15-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
24-5
Win /Loss
13-15
19-10
Spread
13-17
10-21-0
Over / Under
16-15-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MICHST @ IOWA
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MONEYLINE
MICHST @ IOWA
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OVER / UNDER
MICHST @ IOWA
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69%
PUBLIC
31%
MONEY
98%
PUBLIC
2%
MONEY
Over33%
PUBLIC
Under67%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Over / UnderUnder 155.5 -110
LOSS
Unit2.0
+317
4-2 in Last 6 NCAAB Picks
+88
2-1 in Last 3 NCAAB O/U Picks
Jimmie's Analysis:

This pick comes down to Michigan State's dominance on the defensive end of the court. Tom Izzo's squad has held five straight opponents under 70 points, and the Spartans rank second in the Big Ten in points allowed per game. I see this ending up being a 75-70 type of game.

Pick Made: Mar 07, 12:56 am UTC on BetMGM
Point SpreadMichigan St. -6.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+2484
106-73-1 in Last 180 NCAAB Picks
+290
4-1 in Last 5 NCAAB ATS Picks
+400
4-0 in Last 4 MICHST ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

The Hawkeyes are in the process of missing out on the Big Ten Tourney, which begs if the clock is ticking on HC Fran McCaffery. The softness of the Hawkeyes is reflected in season-long defensive numbers bordering on abysmal. To confront that, McCaffery has attempted to slow the pace in recent games, but to no avail; Illinois and Northwestern have just scored convincing double-digit wins, while Iowa has scored only 59 pg in the process. Meanwhile, Tom Izzo can wrap up the Big Ten reg-season crown with another win tonight. The pistons are all firing lately for the Spartans, who have been getting an extra spark from frosh G Jase Richardson, on a stretch of seven straight games scoring in double digits. Play Michigan State

Pick Made: Mar 06, 9:14 pm UTC on BetRivers
Point SpreadIowa +7.5 -115
WIN
Unit0.5
+2796
82-41 in Last 123 NCAAB Picks
+141
2-1 in Last 3 NCAAB ATS Picks
+350
10-6 in Last 16 IOWA ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Stunned in the best possible way at Sparty this season as they have clinched at worse a share of the Big Ten regular-season title. Tom Izzo's crew has won five straight, four of those over ranked teams and the other at formerly ranked Illinois. This seems like a mega-trap to me in their final road game and ahead of hosting Michigan in the RS finale on Sunday. It's the home finale for Iowa and maybe the last game in that gym for Hawkeyes coach Fran McCaffrey. Just a lot of weird intangibles that hint at a close game. Seems like MSU never plays well in Iowa City.

Pick Made: Mar 06, 6:45 pm UTC on DraftKings
Over / UnderUnder 152.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+327
8-4-1 in Last 13 NCAAB Picks
+287
13-9 in Last 22 NCAAB O/U Picks
Chip's Analysis:

The key to Michigan State's late season form has been its defense, which has excelled in slowing down some of the best offenses in the Big Ten during this five-game winning streak. It's also contributed to noticeably lower totals overall. Michigan State games went over 150 in nine of the Spartans first 19 games, but that feat has only been accomplished once in the last 10 games. That's part of the reason the under is 6-12 in Michigan State's conference games and why even Iowa's defensive shortcomings might keep this total from going over.

Pick Made: Mar 06, 2:50 am UTC on FanDuel
Over / UnderUnder 152.5 -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1783
40-20-1 in Last 61 NCAAB O/U Picks
+192
3-1 in Last 4 MICHST O/U Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Sparty is under in 14 of last 18 games and 10 of 11. They are under in 6 straight games by: 13.5, 37, 13.5, 7.5, 14.5, 10.5. Those 6 games have averaged 136 points. Sparty average 71/G in that span and allow just 66 in conference. Iowa can shoot, especially at home, but Izzo's defense is in top form. Will take away deep ball and rotate four 7-footers. Iowa under in 5 of last 7 at home. Those games averaged 152. Four of those games went under by 11.5 or more. Pace shouldn't be a problem for us. Iowa D stinks but Sparty doesn't shoot from 3.

Pick Made: Mar 06, 12:03 am UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Michigan St. Spartans
Friday, Nov 08, 2024
Avatar
F
Colin Walton
Redshirt
Thursday, Nov 07, 2024
Avatar
F
Brennan Walton
Redshirt
Tuesday, Apr 08, 2025
Avatar
G
Jase Richardson
Pro Draft Prep
Iowa Hawkeyes
Sunday, Mar 30, 2025
Avatar
F
Cooper Koch
Undisclosed

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
64%
18-10-2
12-17-1
41%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
69%
9-4-2
8-9-1
47%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
59%
13-9-1
3-10-1
23%
When Spread was -9 to -5
SPREAD
When Spread was +5 to +9
75%
3-1-1
1-6-1
14%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
57%
4-3-1
1-3-1
25%
vs Teams That Win 50-65% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
50%
3-3-1
8-8-1
50%
vs Teams Allowing >72 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <67 PPG
20%
2-8-1
3-4-1
42%
After 4+ Days Off
REST
After 4+ Days Off
64%
11-6-1
9-8-1
52%
vs IOWA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MICHST
0%
0-0-1
0-0-1
0%
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