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Thu, Mar 3111:00 pm UTCMadison Square Garden
Track OnCBS Sports
Xavier
Musketeers
XAVIER
Last 5 ATS
W/L23-12
ATS17-18
O/U17-17-1
FINAL SCORE
--
-
--
Texas A&M
Aggies
TEXAM
Last 5 ATS
W/L26-13
ATS22-16
O/U24-15-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
23-12
Win /Loss
26-13
17-18
Spread
22-16
17-17-1
Over / Under
24-15-0
Key Injuries
Key Injuries
Avatar
F
Avatar
F
Avatar
G
Key Injuries
Avatar
G
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
XAVIER @ TEXAM
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MONEYLINE
XAVIER @ TEXAM
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OVER / UNDER
XAVIER @ TEXAM
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0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
Over0%
PUBLIC
Under0%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Expert's PickXavier +5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+2774
139-101-1 in Last 241 NCAAB Picks
+2674
138-101-1 in Last 240 NCAAB ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

I don't really care about this game and I'm not sure how much either side will, either, after watching St. Bonaventure go through the motions against Xavier on Tuesday. The Musketeers seem to have bonded since losing Paul Scruggs to a season-ending injury and since the firing of Coach Travis Steele. Jonas Hayes has done a great job as interim coach; probably deserves a full-time look if not for the school already hiring Sean Miller. A&M has looked dominant in this tournament but I simply think 5 points is too many to give. The SportsLine Projection Model has Xavier winning by two. Not sure I agree with that but it should be close either way. For what it's worth, Xavier is 2-0 vs. the SEC in this tournament.

Pick Made: Mar 31, 10:22 pm UTC on WHNJ
Expert's PickTexas A&M -4.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2084
56-32-1 in Last 89 NCAAB ATS Picks
Zack's Analysis:

In their respective NIT semifinal matchups on Tuesday, both Xavier and Texas A&M put together complete games. This will make the championship a true must-watch game. Prior to the championship, all matchups in the NIT were spaced out. Expect the two-day turnaround to give the advantage to the Aggies as they continue their strong defensive effort in the NIT. Buy the hook and purchase Texas A&M -4.

Pick Made: Mar 31, 8:58 pm UTC on WHNJ
Expert's PickTexas A&M -4.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3193
216-167-8 in Last 391 NCAAB ATS Picks
+80
3-2 in Last 5 NCAAB ATS Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Snubbed by the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee, the Aggies (27-12) have won all four of their NIT games by at least a dozen points. They're playing with incredible defensive intensity, forcing more than 16 turnovers per game in this tourney and for the season overall. Xavier made an admirable run to the final under an interim coach and without senior guard Paul Scruggs. And the Musketeers are comfortable in Madison Square Garden, as they have experience playing there from the Big East Tournament. But I'll back the Aggies to cap off in style a late-season run that's seen them win 11 of 12.

Pick Made: Mar 31, 3:35 pm UTC on WHNJ
Expert's PickXavier +4.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+956
36-24 in Last 60 NCAAB Picks
Justin's Analysis:

There might just be too much hype on the Aggies right now, so let's go against it. I like this game to be low scoring, so on principle I think that gives an edge to taking the points before even fading the recency bias. My model also has this game incorrectly priced by the books, I make Xavier just a 2 point underdog today. They have a strong offensive team that effectively scores the ball without relying on the 3pt shot. They do not make many unforced errors, which should limit transition buckets for the Aggies, and maybe most importantly they get to the Free Throw line with good frequency while not fouling too much on the defensive end. I'll grab the points in a championship game that I like to be called in such a way that it remains close and exciting.

Pick Made: Mar 31, 12:48 pm UTC on Consensus
Expert's PickUnder 137.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+956
36-24 in Last 60 NCAAB Picks
Justin's Analysis:

Championship game with a total above 135? Merry Christmas everyone! The only way this game reaches this mark is through overtime, in my opinion. So go grab a nice +1000 sprinkle on this game to go to OT and play the Under. The Aggies are now on a 7 game streak of limiting opponents to 65 points or less, and I think Xavier is due for a bit of regression after hot shooting against SBU. This will be one of the toughest defenses that Xavier has played all season and I like the Aggies to slow it down. We saw last game had 8 points in the final 6min for A&M vs WSU, with lock down ability like that I think the Under has to be the call.

Pick Made: Mar 31, 12:43 pm UTC on WHNJ

Team Injuries

Xavier Musketeers
Saturday, Dec 21, 2024
Avatar
G
Trey Green
Undisclosed
Monday, Dec 16, 2024
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F
Zach Freemantle
Lower Body
Monday, Oct 14, 2024
Avatar
F
Lassina Traore
Knee
Monday, Jul 01, 2024
Avatar
G
Roddie Anderson III
Redshirt
Texas A&M Aggies
Friday, Dec 20, 2024
Avatar
G
Wade Taylor IV
Groin
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