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The Bulldogs continue to be the best offensive team in the nation, as they have scored 83-plus points in NCAA Tournament games. Gonzaga has scored 82-plus points in 14 of its last 16 games. The Bulldogs play at the third fastest pace in the country. The Bruins' strength is their offense. They rank 13th in offensive efficiency. The UCLA defense is 45th in efficiency.
The Final Four is the stage where Cinderella stories come to an end. Expect that to be the case for UCLA, which had the fortune to survive two overtime games and several late-game blunders by Michigan. The Zags will overpower the Bruins and make another big statement before Monday’s national title game.
Second game of Final Four on Saturday and shown on CBS. I've never seen a college offense hum like Gonzaga's, and the Bruins winning this game would be a much, much bigger upset than when Duke knocked off unbeaten UNLV in the Final Four 30 years ago. I have no question in my mind the Zags win, but UCLA plays at such a snail's pace that it can stay within this spread -- the Bruins completely slowed down Alabama (65 regulation points) and Michigan (an amazingly low 49 points). Double-digit underdogs are 8-6 ATS in this Big Dance. Hey, maybe the Zags even look past UCLA a bit toward what has seemed like an inevitable national title game showdown all season vs. Baylor (assuming the Bears win in the Final Four opener -- which they will).
The Bruins want to make it a strictly halfcourt game like they did versus Michigan, but the Zags aren't going to let them. Gonzaga sped up USC with its defense and ran away with another easy cover. The Bulldogs have won a Division I-record 27 straight games by double digits. Wish I'd gotten the opening number of 13.5, but I'll still lay the points with this juggernaut.