San Diego State played a near-perfect game in its upset of Nevada on Friday night in the Mountain West Tournament semifinals. The Aztecs shot 62 percent from the field while building a 30-point halftime lead against top-seed Nevada. A duplicate effort on short notice is a difficult task, and the possibility of a letdown looms. Even so, the Aztecs seem determined to complete their about-face from middling Mountain West afterthought to NCAA Tournament bid stealer with a tournament championship. Look for them to

San Diego State has some serious momentum heading into the Mountain West championship game and it also has revenge in mind from a 79-75 loss at New Mexico (+3.5) on Jan. 20. The Aztecs are much more polished since that performance and are riding an eight-game win streak, in which they've covered seven of them. That includes dismantling top seed Nevada, 90-73, on Friday. San Diego State always plays well at the Thomas & Mack Center. Aztecs get the cover here.

These teams have made it a habit to disappoint Over players. New Mexico and San Diego State have lived in Under territory for 11 of their latest 14 collisions. The Aztecs have sailed Over just once in seven outings. The Lobos cling to Unders in Mountain West Tournament games, having avoided the Over in a half-dozen neutral-site appearances. Their offense is potent, no doubt, as an 82.4-point average per game cries out. The Aztecs counter with a league-best defense that yielded 67.7 points. The final piece of evidence is the regular-season matchup, which resulted in 144 points scored.