I'll be honest; I just don't understand this number for Game 4. Minnesota has been the better team in this series for 2+ games and is getting tremendous production from it's top line of Kirill Kaprizov - Joel Eriksson - Matt Boldy. On the flipside Vegas' top group hasn't generated anything and it's getting late early for one of the West's favorites. I get desperation and I get the intangibles but I what i don't get is the number drifting this far. I'll fade the steam and take a stab with the dog

Vegas isn't controlling center ice (at all), or living in the O-zone (as usual) yet in this series, with Minnesota dictating pace and tempo. Moreover, the Kirill Kaprizov line is dominating possession, and is keeping the puck away from the Jack Eichel line when both are on the ice (having the second shift helps Minnesota at home). Bruce Cassidy having to pull GK Adin Hill after the 2nd period in Game 3 is another worry for VGK. A healthy Kaprizov and Joel Eriksson Ek, and the hot Matt Boldy (four goals in this series, the same as Kaprizov) have given Minnesota a different look, and Filip Gustavsson (.922 saves in this series) is more than holding his own in goal. Play Wild on Money Line

Same deal as Game 3. I believe the Wild win outright, but why wouldn't I pay 40 cents or so for insurance if goes to OT? I will "gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today" type of thing. Kirill Kaprizov and Matt Boldy have recorded multiple points in each of the first three games of the series for Minnesota -- which has looked like vastly the better team in the past two and yet we are getting +1. But I may be stuck in a USS Callister sim (so missed good Black Mirror).