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Wed, Apr 2312:30 am UTCAmalie Arena
Track OnCBS Sports
Florida
Panthers
FLA
Last 5 ML
W/L51-36
ATS40-47
O/U41-46-0
FINAL SCORE
6
-
2
Tampa Bay
Lightning
TB
Last 5 ML
W/L48-39
ATS44-43
O/U42-40-5
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
51-36
Win /Loss
48-39
40-47
Spread
44-43
41-46-0
Over / Under
42-40-5
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
FLA @ TB
Subscribers Only

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MONEYLINE
FLA @ TB
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OVER / UNDER
FLA @ TB
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49%
PUBLIC
51%
MONEY
23%
PUBLIC
77%
MONEY
Over85%
PUBLIC
Under15%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineTampa Bay -116
LOSS
Unit1.0
+532
13-10 in Last 23 NHL Sides Picks
+344
9-7 in Last 16 NHL ML Picks
+372
11-8 in Last 19 TB ML Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

This is the fourth time in five postseasons we've seen the Sunshine State battle, and now payback time for the Lightning after out in five vs. Florida in an ill-tempered opening round last April. Note TB goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy, who once set the standard in the nets for the playoffs, had a stellar regular season with a 2.20 GAA and .921 saves, while the Lightning also had a top ten penalty kill (80.3%). Nikita Kucherov was the league's top scorer (121 points), too.. This doesn't have the same feel for Florida as last season, as the Panthers labored down the stretch, winning only three of their last ten, and Matthew Tkachuk's status is a game-time decision for Paul Maurice tonight. Play Lightning on Money Line

Pick Made: Apr 22, 7:14 pm UTC on BetRivers
Money LineTampa Bay -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3599.5
137-66-7 in Last 210 NHL Sides Picks
+1871
89-48 in Last 137 NHL ML Picks
+905.5
64-40 in Last 104 TB ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Not only don't I think the Panthers repeat, I don't believe they get past their bitter in-state rivals in Round 1. Matthew Tkachuk may or may not return from a long injury absence on Tuesday, but even if he does what can really be expected considering he has missed two-plus months? And top blueliner Aaron Ekblad is suspended the first two games. Tampa Bay had second most home wins in the Eastern Conference (29). Future Hall of Famer Andrei Vasilevskiy had one of his top seasons with a career-best 2.18 goals-against average, while his .921 save percentage ranked fourth in the NHL.

Pick Made: Apr 22, 2:07 am UTC on DraftKings
Money LineTampa Bay -110
LOSS
Unit2.0
+258
3-2 in Last 5 NHL ML Picks
+96
8-6 in Last 14 TB ML Picks
Jeff's Analysis:

The Tampa Bay Lightning have been knocked out of the first round of the playoffs in two consecutive seasons. Last year, the Florida Panthers eliminated Tampa Bay in five games. Tampa Bay lost the first two games by one goal at Florida last season. With Tampa Bay at home, they will be able to match up last, which should propel them to a game-one win.

Pick Made: Apr 21, 1:01 pm UTC on BetMGM

Best Prop Picks

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20 Total Player Props ProjectionPicks for A. Barkov, G. Forsling, N. Kucherov, V. Hedman and 16 more players!

Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Florida Panthers
Saturday, May 03, 2025
Avatar
D
Aaron Ekblad
SuspensionSuspended
Tampa Bay Lightning
Friday, May 02, 2025
Avatar
RW
Oliver Bjorkstrand
Lower BodyOut
Thursday, May 01, 2025
Avatar
LW
Brandon Hagel
Upper BodyOut

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
57%
47-35, -552
47-35, -406
57%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
48%
20-21, -546
29-12, +438
70%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
46%
7-8, +17
41-21, +302
66%
When Line was -115 to +115
MONEY LINE
When Line was -135 to -105
30%
4-9, -483
9-4, +359
69%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
41%
5-7, -76
27-9, +547
75%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
56%
18-14, +203
13-16, -470
44%
vs Teams Allowing 2.6 to 2.9 GPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 2.6 to 2.9 GPG
50%
7-7, -112
8-8, -190
50%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
58%
40-28, -379
42-29, -258
59%
vs TB
HEAD TO HEAD
vs FLA
50%
2-2, -51
2-2, -18
50%
when Sergei Bobrovsky starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Andrei Vasilevskiy starts
61%
33-21, -84
38-25, -115
60%
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