Sam Bennett has hit the over on 2.5 shots in 66.67% of his last 15 games. Over his last 20 games, he has averaged 3.45 shots on goal, further solidifying his ability to exceed this line. Bennett has hit the over on this line in 64.79% of games this season, with an average of 3.2 shots on goal. He has been even more reliable when playing on the road, hitting the over in 68.57% of games, with an average of 3.0 shots on goal. Bennett only had two shots on goal when these teams played on Monday. The Montreal Canadiens rank 15th in defense against centers and 24th in shots allowed, while Florida is ranked third in generating shots.

Montreal needs two points (I'll take one) much more than Florida with the Habs in a dogfight for the last Eastern WC spot. The Canadiens are 20-15 ATS at home and catch a break here in that the Cats are using backup Vitek Vanecek in net. He was good in his Florida debut after coming over in trade but has been shelled in two straight -- both away. Montreal won't lack confidence thanks to a 4-2 upset win in Sunrise on Saturday. I generally don't like playing one team to sweep a home-and-home in the NHL, but Vanecek starting has me playing something in the rematch. Sam Montembeault, who won Saturday's game, is back in there and has much better home splits.