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Sun, Oct 295:00 pm UTCHard Rock Stadium
80 F
Track OnCBS Sports
New England
Patriots
NE
Last 5 ATS
W/L4-13
ATS5-11
O/U7-10-0
FINAL SCORE
17
-
31
Miami
Dolphins
MIA
Last 5 ATS
W/L11-6
ATS10-7
O/U9-8-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
4-13
Win /Loss
11-6
5-11
Spread
10-7
7-10-0
Over / Under
9-8-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
NE @ MIA
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
NE @ MIA
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

OVER / UNDER
NE @ MIA
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

37%
PUBLIC
63%
MONEY
11%
PUBLIC
89%
MONEY
Over46%
PUBLIC
Under54%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Total Home PointsMiami Over 27.5 Total Pts -115
WIN
Unit1.0
Allan's Analysis:

The Dolphins have every reason to score 30+ Sunday. Not only being back home but also coming off a tough loss to Philadelphia, coupled with facing a division opponent in the Patriots. In three games at home this season Miami has averaged 47.7 PPG, 558 YPG and has outscored said three opponents by a total of 86 points. All in.

Pick Made: Oct 29, 4:27 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Rushing YardsRaheem Mostert Over 52.5 Total Rushing Yards -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1375
43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Pats overall Run D #s are great but when you dig deep you see why this is bad match-up. NE is 4th in NFL vs Outside Zone, which is what people think of in the Shanahan/McDaniel run game. But Pats are 24th in NFL vs Inside Zone (4.6/carry). MIA called 5 IZ runs for 66 yds and 2 TDS in 1st meeting this year. Mostert 18-121 in that game. Banking on ankle being fine. He avg 8.8/carry on IZ runs this season. MIA avg 9.7/IZ run as a team. Will gut that defense over 4 qtrs on an 85-degree day. Could parlay with TD prop (low value now -200 as standalone)

Pick Made: Oct 28, 3:00 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadMiami -9.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+2053
98-78-4 in Last 180 NFL Sides Picks
+1733
78-61-3 in Last 142 NFL ATS Picks
+546
25-17-1 in Last 43 MIA ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

The Dolphins offense looked pretty pedestrian in the loss to the Eagles, which featured their lowest yardage total of the season by 145 yards. That previous "low" of 389 yards came against the Patriots in Foxborough, but I struggle to see New England having the same success with Christian Gonzalez sidelined. The Patriots only had to play from behind in the final two minutes last week, and I expect the Dolphins will put them in a worse spot this week and force mistakes from Mac Jones. The lookahead was Dolphins -13, which was closer to right than this line.

Pick Made: Oct 24, 2:29 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey

Team Injuries

New England Patriots
Thursday, May 01, 2025
Avatar
TE
Hunter Henry
FootQuestionable
Avatar
FS
Jabrill Peppers
HamstringQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Marte Mapu
NeckQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Marcus Jones
HipQuestionable
Avatar
SAF
Kyle Dugger
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Ja'Lynn Polk
ShoulderQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Jaquelin Roy
FootQuestionable
Tuesday, Mar 11, 2025
Avatar
SAF
Marcus Epps
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Tuesday, Feb 11, 2025
Avatar
WR
Stefon Diggs
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Miami Dolphins
Monday, May 19, 2025
Avatar
OLB
Bradley Chubb
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Wednesday, May 07, 2025
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WR
Tyreek Hill
WristQuestionable
Thursday, May 01, 2025
Avatar
LB
Jordyn Brooks
WristQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Tanner Conner
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
QB
Tua Tagovailoa
HipQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Tahj Washington
UndisclosedQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Grayson Murphy
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Cam Smith
ShoulderQuestionable
Wednesday, Apr 16, 2025
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WR
Grant DuBose
HeadQuestionable
Wednesday, Feb 12, 2025
Avatar
OG
James Daniels
AchillesQuestionable
Tuesday, Feb 11, 2025
Avatar
LB
Jaelan Phillips
Knee - ACLQuestionable
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OT
Kion Smith
Knee - ACLQuestionable
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