DraftKings. Once again, this Franz Wagner line reads as too high against an elite defense. Wagner is under this number in 12/28 games playing alongside Paolo Banchero this season, averaging 32 PRA. But if you strip out opponents who are in the bottom ten of defensive rating, he’s under in 12/18. Cleveland is seventh defensively, and second since the All-Star break. They also allow the eight fewest assists and tenth fewest rebounds. I’d bet this down to under 32.5 PRA.

Cavs have won 16 straight and 9 of those are double-digit wins. It's just what they do, and especially at home. Magic are severely compromised on offense and playing from behind does not suit them. Magic are 7-12 ATS as road dog and 23-33-1 ATS outside their tepid division. Cavs are 22-15-1 ATS with equal rest and 34-19-1 ATS outside their division and 20-13-1 as a home favorite. Smashed Magic by 40 earlier this season. Magic have been keeping games closer lately but I don't trust them on road against elite, deep teams that can light it up like the Cavs. Holding Cavs below 120 is a problem for anyone and scoring 100 is a problem for the Magic. Cavs won other meeting by 11.