I was hoping for a 14.5 but not sure I am going to get it. OKC started to cover with regularity down the stretch pre-ASG. They are 5-1 ATS last 6 at home and won 7 of their last 8, with 5 wins by 14+ and 4 by 29+. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 shots as a double-digit favorite. They come at you in waves and are 21-9-2 ATS with equal rest. Whacked Utah by 27 earlier this season. Jazz had a nice little bump in their play right before the break but I'm not buying it. They are just 13-12 ATS at home.

Love this matchup for Jalen Williams who is fresh off of his well deserved first All-Star appearance. Williams has torched the Jazz over his career and is averaging 25 PPG versus them in his previous five matchups against Utah. The Jazz sport one of the league's worst defenses and have been particularly generous to opposing forwards.