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Thu, Feb 132:30 am UTCAmerican Airlines Center
Track OnCBS Sports
Golden State
Warriors
GS
Last 5 ATS
W/L39-28
ATS35-31
O/U31-30-0
FINAL SCORE
107
-
111
Dallas
Mavericks
DAL
Last 5 ATS
W/L33-35
ATS34-33
O/U33-26-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
39-28
Win /Loss
33-35
35-31
Spread
34-33
31-30-0
Over / Under
33-26-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
GS @ DAL
Subscribers Only

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MONEYLINE
GS @ DAL
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OVER / UNDER
GS @ DAL
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45%
PUBLIC
55%
MONEY
83%
PUBLIC
17%
MONEY
Over93%
PUBLIC
Under7%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadGolden St. -7.5 -118
LOSS
Unit1.0
+230
19-15 in Last 34 NBA Picks
+85
10-8 in Last 18 NBA ATS Picks
+757
9-3 in Last 12 GS ATS Picks
Brad's Analysis:

The Mavericks are basically without a big man, and the vibes on these two teams could not be any more opposite with the arrival of Jimmy Butler in Golden State and the still-shocking departure of Luka Doncic in Dallas -- not to mention the subsequent and immediate injury to Anthony Davis. Butler is giving the Warriors a huge boost as a second scorer and high-post facilitator; his ability to get to the free-throw line has made them much harder to guard and gives them an option to buoy their offense in rough shooting patches and non-Curry minutes.

Pick Made: Feb 13, 1:28 am UTC on DraftKings
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Total 3pt Field GoalsStephen Curry Over 4.5 Total 3pt Field Goals -111
LOSS
Unit1.0
+82
2-1 in Last 3 NBA Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

One of the great things about the Jimmy Butler trade is he isn't looking for a long-range shot. He wants to penetrate and kick out and Steph is getting great looks. Steph vs Klay is gonna be a bit of a thing, right? Steph will be putting up 18-20 from behind the arc and he's on a heater right now. He's made 6 or more in 4 straight games and over this in 5 of 7. Warriors just got a lot more difficult to defend. Steve Kerr will use Butler's presence to make like easier for Steph and get more pure looks rather than have to kill his legs to get off low-percentage shots. Steph over this in both games vs Mavs, making 12/25.

Pick Made: Feb 12, 3:46 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadGolden St. -4 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2127.5
30-8 in Last 38 NBA Picks
+1645.5
84-60-1 in Last 145 NBA ATS Picks
+217
10-7 in Last 17 GS ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

I'm buying the Warriors newfound dynamic offense. Steph's erratic shooting not as big a concern with Himmy Butler in the house and already carrying a heavy load. Warriors scored 125+ in three of last four and are 5-3 in last eight games to right their season and overcome a potentially devastating loss at Utah. No AD a big deal for the Mavs here. Could be another hostile home crowd post-Luka trade. How much can Kyrie do here?

Pick Made: Feb 12, 2:25 am UTC on DraftKings

Best Prop Picks

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54 Total Player Props ProjectionPicks for J. Butler, D. Green, P. Washington, D. Exum and 50 more players!

Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Golden State Warriors
Saturday, Mar 15, 2025
Avatar
SG
Brandin Podziemski
BackOut
Dallas Mavericks
Sunday, Mar 16, 2025
Avatar
SF
Caleb Martin
HipOut
Avatar
C
Kai Jones
QuadricepsOut
Avatar
SG
Jaden Hardy
AnkleOut
Saturday, Mar 15, 2025
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SG
Dante Exum
HandOfs
Friday, Mar 14, 2025
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C
Anthony Davis
ThighOut
Avatar
C
Daniel Gafford
KneeOut
Avatar
C
Dereck Lively II
AnkleOut
Friday, Mar 07, 2025
Avatar
SF
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
WristOfs
Tuesday, Mar 04, 2025
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PG
Kyrie Irving
KneeOfs

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
50%
27-26
27-25-2
51%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
56%
14-11
15-11
57%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
51%
15-14
13-12-1
52%
When Spread was -9 to -6
SPREAD
When Spread was +6 to +9
50%
5-5
3-2
60%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
54%
6-5
5-4
55%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
47%
9-10
5-5
50%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
48%
24-26
26-25-2
51%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
54%
24-20
21-22-2
48%
vs DAL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs GS
50%
1-1
1-1
50%
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