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Understanding Public and Money
Expert Picks
These are two teams that have different profiles. Went healthy, Memphis is absolutely rolling people. Meanwhile, Toronto covers the spread, except when they’re big underdogs on the road, which comes into play tonight.
Desmond Bane has been rounding into form and has scored 20+ points in consecutive games. Bane's playing time has also been increasing and the combo guard eclipsed 32 minutes in his last outing. Bane and the Grizzlies get a fantastic matchup against a Raptors team that plays at the 6th fastest pace, in addition to ranking 23rd in Defensive Efficiency. Toronto gives up a ton of scoring production to opposing guards.
This pains me, as the Raptors have been very good to us. Both teams are covering machines ... But TOR really playing with fire lately, keep falling behind by 20+ points and have covered just 1 of last 4. Just 8-6 ATS on road and 2-5 ATS in last 7 as 10+ dog. Grizz 6-2 ATS last 8 covering by 14.5, 49(!), 6, 18 and 13 in last 5 covers. Grizz 8-1 ATS after a loss, 10-5 ATS at home and 12-3 ATS vs the East. Grizz win by 12.3 at home, averaging 122/G. Could be a smash spot.