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This is a low number for Jusuf Nurkic who is averaging 20.1 PRA on the season. Nurkic is coming off a career best season last year from a health standpoint, where the oft-injured big man appeared in 76 games for the Suns, on his way to averaging 11/11/4. Nurk has been in and out of the lineup this season, however he last appeared in a game 6 days ago so he should be in line for a full compliment of minutes tonight. We’re getting a sizable discount here and with Nurk likely to play 25+ mins barring foul trouble, it is a strong value. Also good with this at 18.5 if you don't have access to the 17.5.
AD is coming in off rest and having been humbled by the Nuggets in a way few teams have handled him this season under new management with The Lake Show. He has handled Josef Nurkic in the past and has been a scoring machine on the road this season: 31, 40, 37, 38, 22 and 29. He also has looked to dish off when facing this center in the past and routinely picked up 3-5 assists vs the Suns. I expect him to be fed down low early and often and wouldn't be surprised if he goes over this on the points alone but I like the assist angle, too. He's averaging 30.1 PPG alone.
The cavalry looks to be riding to the rescue of the Suns, as both Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal reportedly will return. It's been a barren five-game stretch for Phoenix while short-handed, perhaps bottoming out when it allowed New York to hit almost 59% from the floor last Wednesday. Keep in mind that with most hands on deck a few weeks earlier, the Suns unfurled a seven-game winning streak that included a 109-105 triumph over the Lakers in which Durant scored 30 points. Meanwhile, Los Angeles is now wobbling with consecutive losses, as well as concerns over Anthony Davis' foot that limited him in Saturday's heavy loss to Denver. Play the Suns.