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The big and bad Cavs are catching the Magic at the perfect time. Cavs are rested, and Orlando has to change it's rotations and approach with Paolo Banchero now out for a long time. Yeah, that's a lot of points gone, but also a guy who could go for double-digit rebounds every night. Mobley is playing his best ball by far and yes, I worry here that maybe Jarret Allen gets like 15 tonight and not Mobley, but I expect this game to stay relatively close but the Cavs to win because of their dirty work down low and Mobley will lead the charge. This is right at his average and I don't think he is average tonight.
Look, this line is ridiculous. Do I think the Cavs lose at home with Orlando missing Paolo Banchero? Obviously not (honestly believe this is a tad low). But if the books aren't going to give me reasonable spreads, it's time to adjust. I'll just have to jack up my wager amounts and go more bet to win than risk. Honestly, this might be more of a principle play as I'm frustrated with NBA lines so far. Those of you who follow me on Twitter probably know what I will do with this overall.