The over is 6-2 between these two teams since the 2022 season. San Antonio comes into this season with a new point guard, Chris Paul, and higher expectations that last season. They’re also without Devin Vassell tonight, who gives them more offense. The Mavericks were on the top under teams last season with a record of 58-45-1 towards the under. Dallas added Klay Thompson over the summer, but still will most likely play at a slower place. Luka Doncic didn’t play in the preseason and could get off to a slower start this season, coming off a recurring calf injury.

This is a big number for Tre Jones who finds himself as a backup on the Spurs after San Antonio acquired Chris Paul in the offseason. Jones averaged 10 PPG last year playing nearly 30 minutes a game. I have him projected at under 20 minutes tonight.

This seems a bit generous considering Daniel Gafford averaged 9.0 points and 5.5 rebounds last year with the Mavs and in three games against the Spurs averaged 13.0 points and 10.3 rebounds. Our AI has Gafford at 14.7 PR.