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Wed, May 152:30 am UTCBall Arena
Track OnCBS Sports
Minnesota
Timberwolves
MIN
Last 5 ATS
W/L65-33
ATS49-45
O/U50-46-1
FINAL SCORE
97
-
112
Denver
Nuggets
DEN
Last 5 ATS
W/L64-30
ATS44-47
O/U40-52-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
65-33
Win /Loss
64-30
49-45
Spread
44-47
50-46-1
Over / Under
40-52-1
Key Injuries
Key Injuries
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SG
Avatar
PG
Key Injuries
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PF
Avatar
PG
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SF
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIN @ DEN
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MONEYLINE
MIN @ DEN
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OVER / UNDER
MIN @ DEN
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43%
PUBLIC
57%
MONEY
16%
PUBLIC
84%
MONEY
Over95%
PUBLIC
Under5%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineDenver -180
WIN
Unit1.0
+450
31-23 in Last 54 NBA Picks
Tim's Analysis:

Denver has FINALLY woke up following a 2-0 deficit to the series. Look for the Nuggets to build on their momentum and take control of the series. I'm backing the ML as opposed to laying points.

Pick Made: May 14, 9:52 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total 3pt Field GoalsAaron Gordon Over 0.5 Total 3pt Field Goals -164
LOSS
Unit0.5
+743.5
34-17 in Last 51 NBA Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Was planning on taking today off picks-wise after every bad break possible mushroomed on me last night in a disaster. Of six picks I made, at one point thought I was gonna win five and in the span of about 45 minutes it all went bad. Who gets suspended a few hours before a freaking NHL playoff game (Avalanche) when at the morning skate? Ah well. But then I saw the DraftKings props trends for tonight -- which you can find in the daily premium newsletter I write if you have signed up -- and this popped out so will throw something down as Gordon shoots 3s much better at home as it is and has made multiple 3s in three straight games.

Pick Made: May 14, 4:21 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadDenver -4 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+3578
197-147-3 in Last 347 NBA Picks
+2461
108-76-2 in Last 186 NBA ATS Picks
+1135
18-6 in Last 24 DEN ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

While pondering if any home edge (0-4!) is really meaningless in this series, we also must wonder about the momentum shift of the past two games that took place at Target Center. Aside from kicking away the home-court edge that they earned by winning the first pair in Denver, the T-wolves have some other concerns, as no one seemed willing or able to help out Anthony Edwards in either of the last two games, with disastrous consequences when Edwards scored only 19 in Game 3's 27-point loss. Even with Ant scoring 40 on Sunday, the supporting cast didn't help enough, either, in the 115-107 loss. The Nuggets switched gears in Minneapolis and this is a fair price tonight. Play Nuggets

Pick Made: May 14, 4:21 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadDenver -4 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+400
3-0 in Last 3 NBA ATS Picks
+690
7-1-1 in Last 9 DEN ATS Picks
Jeff's Analysis:

Both teams will be playing their fifth game within ten days. The high altitude of the venue will likely benefit the defending champions, especially since they will only have one day of rest. The Nuggets have improved their efficiency, shooting over 50% from the field in their last two victories. Mike Malone and his team have made the necessary offensive adjustments. Denver should be highly focused, given the outcome of the first two games in their home arena.

Pick Made: May 13, 11:21 pm UTC on FanDuel
Money LineDenver -184
WIN
Unit1.0
+374
4-2 in Last 6 MIN ML Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Given how the series has shifted the past two games, do we expect Denver to drop a third straight game at home? This is a dominant home team - especially when something is truly at stake - with the heart of a champ, as demonstrated in Minnesota. Denver hasn't lost 3 in a row at home since the end of the 21-22 season. They were on a 15-1 run in the playoffs at home before being stunned by the Wolves in the opening games of this series. Wolves best game came w/o Gobert, which is problematic. KAT looks shook and passive and too much is on ANT's shoulders. DEN 1-4 ATS at home in playoffs, but they steal games late. As champs tend to do.

Pick Made: May 13, 1:21 pm UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Minnesota Timberwolves
Monday, Dec 09, 2024
Avatar
SG
Joe Ingles
CalfQuestionable
Avatar
PG
Rob Dillingham
AnkleQuestionable
Denver Nuggets
Sunday, Dec 08, 2024
Avatar
PF
Dario Saric
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
PG
Jamal Murray
HamstringQuestionable
Saturday, Dec 07, 2024
Avatar
SF
Vlatko Cancar
KneeOut
Saturday, Jul 13, 2024
Avatar
PF
DaRon Holmes II
AchillesOut
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