Spread results have been zig-zagging in this series which is a plus for Indiana in Sunday's Game 4. The Pacers won but didn't cover in Game 3, kicking themselves for letting the Bucks back into a game that Indy led 39-22 after the first quarter. Note the Pacers haven't suffered back-to-back spread defeats since March 1-3, almost two months ago, and not only are the Bucks slated to be minus Giannis (strained calf) again, now Dame Lillard is apparently out with an Achilles strain suffered in Game 3. Indy also now 6-2 SU this season vs. Milwaukee, which is just 18-21 since Doc Rivers took over in late January. Play Pacers

The Milwaukee Bucks will be without their two best players in Giannis and Damian Lillard who account for nearly 55 PPG, in addition to 36 FGA's. Brook Lopez is going to have to step up if the Bucks are to have a chance to survive. We know Indiana wants to get out and run and play out a break neck pace. I expect Lopez to get up a lot of shots and with Milwaukee likely playing from behind, it wouldn't surprise me to see him take 6+ threes in this game.

I project another high scoring affair here as these two meet for the 9th time this season. On 7 occasions they've combined for 233 or more points and had just 203 in the other. Sure, Game 3 went OT, but even at the end of regulation there were 222 points on the board. Bucks still lacking their best bigs to defend, Pacers are a bad defensive team, and MIL can slow the pace down occasionally, but not enough to hold this under 220. The 3 meetings in IND have produced 249, 272 and 250 points. Yeah, D rules in the playoffs, and unders have been prevalent, but not here. Pacers scored 121+ in 6 of 8 vs MIL;113+ in 7 of 8.