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Tyrese Haliburton has been quiet through two games of this series. Haliburton had a fantastic regular season that saw him average 20.1 PPG and we're getting a sizable discount on this scoring prop. The Bucks really struggle defending opposing PGs and I believe the combination of going back to his home court will help Haliburton. I also believe Milwaukee has to adjust for Pascal Siakam which should help open things up for Haliburton from a spacing standpoint. Either way, I love his chances of bouncing back tonight at home and scoring at least 18+ points in the process.
We're seeing something in this matchup that's making us back off of the venerable zig-zag, which has risen once again in the playoffs and definitely kicked on in Game 2 of this series when the Pacers rolled by 17 om the road. But aside from Dame Lillard's unconscious first half (35 points) in Game 1, Indiana has been outplaying Milwaukee, continuing a regular-season trend that saw the Pacers win four of the five meetings. The Bucks haven't yet figured out a way to slow Pascal Siakam, scoring at a brisk 36.5 ppg clip in this series, and now Khris Middleton (ankle) is also hurting on the Milwaukee side, which could be minus Giannis (strained calf) once again. Play Pacers
The beat-up and slowed-down Bucks might be in trouble here. The offensive flow without Giannnis is staccato at best, Dame Lillard may be trying too hard, Middleton isn't fully healthy and now they have to go on the road. Pacers have won 5 of 7 games between these teams including playoffs, despite playing just twice at home. Those wins have been by: 17, 12, 9, 9, 2. Young Pacers can play more free now that they evened the series and are no longer fighting the crowd. Bucks never looked right down the stretch. Younger, faster legs will prevail here and MIL has no answers to slow down Pascal Siakam. Awful lot riding on the aging Brook Lopez and Pat Bev for the Bucks.
We absolutely loved the over heading into Game 1 ... and with all the time off before the playoffs started it ended up a 203-point dud. Halliburton was off and never looked for his shot. Bucks slowed pace down. So we sat out Game 2 waiting to see if it was a blip, and it was. And with series shifting to IND, home team will try to make MIL run and keep up with them. Bucks still without Giannis barring a miracle to defend. This is played 230+ again. Totals between these teams this season: 233, 203, 272 (at IND), 235, 266, 247, 250 (at IND).