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Fri, Apr 269:30 pm UTCGainbridge Fieldhouse
Track OnCBS Sports
Milwaukee
Bucks
MIL
Last 5 ATS
W/L51-37
ATS38-50
O/U45-43-0
FINAL SCORE
118
-
121
Indiana
Pacers
IND
Last 5 ATS
W/L55-45
ATS52-44
O/U52-46-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
51-37
Win /Loss
55-45
38-50
Spread
52-44
45-43-0
Over / Under
52-46-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIL @ IND
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MONEYLINE
MIL @ IND
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OVER / UNDER
MIL @ IND
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25%
PUBLIC
75%
MONEY
13%
PUBLIC
87%
MONEY
Over79%
PUBLIC
Under21%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total PointsTyrese Haliburton Over 17.5 Total Points -123
WIN
Unit1.0
+3975
320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Tyrese Haliburton has been quiet through two games of this series. Haliburton had a fantastic regular season that saw him average 20.1 PPG and we're getting a sizable discount on this scoring prop. The Bucks really struggle defending opposing PGs and I believe the combination of going back to his home court will help Haliburton. I also believe Milwaukee has to adjust for Pascal Siakam which should help open things up for Haliburton from a spacing standpoint. Either way, I love his chances of bouncing back tonight at home and scoring at least 18+ points in the process.

Pick Made: Apr 26, 5:40 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadIndiana -5.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3578
197-147-3 in Last 347 NBA Picks
+2461
108-76-2 in Last 186 NBA ATS Picks
+1550
32-15 in Last 47 IND ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

We're seeing something in this matchup that's making us back off of the venerable zig-zag, which has risen once again in the playoffs and definitely kicked on in Game 2 of this series when the Pacers rolled by 17 om the road. But aside from Dame Lillard's unconscious first half (35 points) in Game 1, Indiana has been outplaying Milwaukee, continuing a regular-season trend that saw the Pacers win four of the five meetings. The Bucks haven't yet figured out a way to slow Pascal Siakam, scoring at a brisk 36.5 ppg clip in this series, and now Khris Middleton (ankle) is also hurting on the Milwaukee side, which could be minus Giannis (strained calf) once again. Play Pacers

Pick Made: Apr 26, 7:49 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadIndiana -4.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+674
45-35 in Last 80 NBA ATS Picks
+290
4-1 in Last 5 MIL ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The beat-up and slowed-down Bucks might be in trouble here. The offensive flow without Giannnis is staccato at best, Dame Lillard may be trying too hard, Middleton isn't fully healthy and now they have to go on the road. Pacers have won 5 of 7 games between these teams including playoffs, despite playing just twice at home. Those wins have been by: 17, 12, 9, 9, 2. Young Pacers can play more free now that they evened the series and are no longer fighting the crowd. Bucks never looked right down the stretch. Younger, faster legs will prevail here and MIL has no answers to slow down Pascal Siakam. Awful lot riding on the aging Brook Lopez and Pat Bev for the Bucks.

Pick Made: Apr 24, 1:21 pm UTC on FanDuel
Over / UnderOver 223.5 -110
WIN
Unit2.0
+458
12-7 in Last 19 IND O/U Picks
Jason's Analysis:

We absolutely loved the over heading into Game 1 ... and with all the time off before the playoffs started it ended up a 203-point dud. Halliburton was off and never looked for his shot. Bucks slowed pace down. So we sat out Game 2 waiting to see if it was a blip, and it was. And with series shifting to IND, home team will try to make MIL run and keep up with them. Bucks still without Giannis barring a miracle to defend. This is played 230+ again. Totals between these teams this season: 233, 203, 272 (at IND), 235, 266, 247, 250 (at IND).

Pick Made: Apr 24, 1:13 pm UTC on FanDuel

Best Prop Picks

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Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Milwaukee Bucks
Tuesday, Apr 29, 2025
Avatar
PG
Damian Lillard
AchillesOut
Avatar
PF
Tyler Smith
AnkleOut
Indiana Pacers
Saturday, Nov 02, 2024
Avatar
C
Isaiah Jackson
AchillesOfs

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
42%
35-48-1
45-37-3
54%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
37%
15-25-1
22-17-2
56%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
43%
7-9
21-22-1
48%
When Spread was +5 to +8
SPREAD
When Spread was -8 to -5
33%
1-2
4-9-1
30%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
27%
3-8
14-14-1
50%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
57%
23-17
24-18-2
57%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
43%
35-46-1
44-37-3
54%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
40%
28-41-1
42-27-3
60%
vs IND
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIL
28%
2-5
5-2
71%
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