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This one is a slam dunk for me (pun intended). I believe this number is at least 7-8 points too low, as both teams rank near the bottom of the NBA in points allowed per game. On the offensive end, Dallas is capable of erupting. I expect this one to end up going north of 230 total points.
Dallas has the Heat on deck. They should be able to put up some points, but not sure how locked in defensively they’re going to be since they’ve been allowing 116.7 points on the road this season. Charlotte has been more efficient on offense of late as they're shooting 62.9% from the floor over their last three games. The over has also hit in eight of the last 10 Hornets games.
PJ Washington will be returning to Charlotte for the first time since being traded at the deadline to the Mavericks. Washington spent the five years of his career with the Hornets and even signed a 3 year contract extension prior to the start of this season. Washington has certainly made a positive impact for the Mavericks and has settled in as their starting PF and is a capable 3&D player that compliments both Luka and Kyrie nicely. Dallas front court depth is limited at the moment and Washington is playing upward of 40 mins per game in April. That should again be the case for this game, and I perhaps even some extra motivation against his old club.